San Diego vs San José State Picks and Predictions for Friday December 5, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/05/2025, 12:25 AM ET

San Diego heads to the Bay Area for a late-night Mountain West matchup against San José State. Tipoff is set for 10:00 PM EST from the Provident Credit Union Event Center. The Toreros enter riding a three-game losing streak, while the Spartans look to bounce back after a tough home defeat and regain momentum. Before we break down the matchup, make sure to check out the full and free college basketball pick.

San Diego Preview

San Diego arrives at 3-4, and while the record doesn’t jump off the page, this is a team with flashes of strong play — especially in the first halves of games. The issue has been closing, something that’s plagued them during their current three-game skid.

Key Numbers for the Toreros

73.7 PPG scored
72.7 PPG allowed
31.7 rebounds per game — one of the lowest in the conference
15.6 assists per game
7.7 steals per game

Johnson leads the offense with:

11.8 PPG
43.3% shooting
75% FT

San Diego’s biggest challenge is interior play. They give up second-chance opportunities, and their defensive transitions have become inconsistent late in games. However, their guard play keeps them competitive, and they shoot well enough from mid-range to stay in striking distance.

The Toreros also move the ball well — a real strength — but they lack the size and rim presence to consistently get stops against physical teams.

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San José State Preview

San José State enters at 3-5, but don’t let the record fool you — this team has played a tough schedule and has looked impressive at home. The Spartans’ offense is streaky, but their defense tightens up significantly on their home court.

Key Numbers for the Spartans

72.0 PPG scored
71.8 PPG allowed
44 rebounds per game
11 assists per game
5.9 steals per game

They are led by C. Garland:

17.6 PPG
52.4% shooting
75.8% FT

San José State plays with patience. They move the ball until they find an opening, they’re strong at the rim, and Garland gives them a reliable scoring option late in the shot clock. Their size advantage here is significant — especially on the boards.

At home, they’ve won two of their last three, including a 63–51 victory over Loyola Chicago, showcasing their defensive potential when they dictate pace.

San Diego vs San José State Pick

I’m taking San José State in this matchup.

San Diego’s weakness on the glass and their inability to protect leads late in games makes this a difficult road spot. The Spartans are bigger, more physical, and more disciplined defensively — especially at home. Garland should find efficient scoring opportunities, and San José State’s rebounding margin should create extra possessions that swing the game.

San Diego will have moments, especially with their guard play, but over 40 minutes I expect the Spartans to control the pace, win the interior battle, and cover the number.

Give me San José State to defend their home floor and hand San Diego their fourth straight loss. Betting on sports and on San Diego is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for San Jose State with the social sportsbooks. Getting the most out of your bets on San Diego vs San Jose State can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

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