Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Texas State Bobcats, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, January 17, 2026
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles (11-8, 4-1 Sun Belt) travel to San Marcos, Texas to take on the Texas State Bobcats (10-9, 3-4 Sun Belt) on Saturday, January 17, 2026 at Strahan Arena. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Analysis
Southern Miss comes into this rematch with momentum after an 80-70 overtime win over Texas State in their last matchup, powered by excellent guard play and balanced scoring. The Golden Eagles typically score in the mid-70s while playing steady defense and generating opportunities on both ends.
Team Overview and Metrics
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Record: 11-8 (4-1 Sun Belt)
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Points per game: 75.4
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Points allowed per game: 73.4
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Rebounds per game: 34.0
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Assists per game: 12.4
Strengths
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Balanced scoring: Tylik Weeks leads the team at 17.6 PPG and 6.2 RPG, anchoring the offense.
Weaknesses
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Turnovers: Southern Miss commits ~12 turnovers per game, which can fuel opponent transition scoring.
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Defense in clutch: When games tighten late, defensive execution has been inconsistent.
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Free-throw variance: Opponents have sometimes trimmed margins late due to variable free-throw shooting.
Texas State Bobcats Analysis
Texas State has shown flashes of quality play but remains inconsistent. The Bobcats’ balanced scoring can be an asset at home, where they average more points than on the road. After losing the first meeting to Southern Miss, Texas State hopes to flip the script with contributions across its rotation.
Team Overview and Metrics
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Record: 10-0
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Points per game: 74.1
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Points allowed per game: 71.0
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Rebounds per game: 33.0
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3-point %: 33.6
Strengths
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Balanced scoring: Mark Drone paces the Bobcats with 13.6 PPG, while DJ Hall adds around 13.4 PPG and 7.9 RPG.
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Assist creation: Kaden Gumbs contributes 3.6PG and 8.5 PPG, sparking ball movement.
Weaknesses
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Perimeter defense: Allowing opponents to shoot efficiently from deep has led to close contests.
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Turnovers: 13 per game weakens offensive flow, especially late.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Southern Miss
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Tylik Weeks (F): Leads the Golden Eagles in scoring (17.6 PPG) and contributes on the boards (6.2 RPG).
Texas State
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Mark Drone (G): Top scoring option (14.3 PPG) and key offensive facilitator.
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DJ Hall (F): Impressive scorer and rebounder anchoring the interior.
Southern Miss vs Texas State Prediction Reasoning
This rematch should be tightly contested, as both teams know each other well from recent overtime affairs. Southern Miss’ slight edge in scoring efficiency, especially Weeks’ ability to produce in clutch moments, gives the Golden Eagles a narrow advantage.
Final Score Projection: Southern Miss 78, Texas State 74
Best Picks
- Southern Miss moneyline
- Over 139.5 total points
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