Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Houston Christian Huskies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026
Stephen F. Austin heads to Sharp Gymnasium in Houston for a Southland matchup with Houston Christian on Saturday at 4:30 PM ET. The Lumberjacks sit at 25-4 overall and 18-2 in conference play, while the Huskies are 11-18 and 7-13 in the Southland. ESPN Analytics gives Stephen F. Austin an 83.4 percent win probability, and the numbers support that gap. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.
Stephen F. Austin Preview
Stephen F. Austin averages 77.5 points per game while allowing just 66.1, one of the better differentials in the conference. The Lumberjacks shoot 44.9 percent from the field and knock down 36.4 percent from three, and that balance shows up in a 38.0 rebounds per game mark. Keon Thompson leads the way with 18.3 points and 4.4 assists per game, shooting 49.0 percent from the field. Lateef Patrick adds 15.2 points, and Jerald Colonel controls the paint with 7.4 rebounds and 2.5 blocks per contest.
Recent form has been steady despite a 77-73 loss to New Orleans on February 23. Before that, Stephen F. Austin won four straight, including road wins at Texas A&M-Commerce and UT Rio Grande Valley. The Lumberjacks have held four of the last five opponents to 70 points or fewer, and the 7.1 steals per game highlight active perimeter pressure. When this group controls tempo and limits turnovers at 9.2 per game, it becomes tough to match.
Houston Christian Preview
Houston Christian averages 67.4 points per game and allows 72.6, which has led to negative scoring margins in league play. The Huskies shoot 44.0 percent from the floor but just 31.8 percent from three, and the 12.5 turnovers per game have stalled offensive rhythm. Kylin Green leads the team with 10.2 points and 4.6 assists per game, though he shoots 36.0 percent from the field. Demarco Bethea contributes 9.8 points and 5.0 rebounds while shooting an efficient 57.2 percent inside.
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Houston Christian vs Stephen F. Austin Prediction
The Huskies have won three of the last five, including a 69-68 road win at East Texas A&M. Those victories have been tight, with wins by one and four points over the last two home games. Houston Christian rebounds at 32.0 per game, which could be an issue against a Stephen F. Austin frontcourt that features Colonel and Chrishawn Christmas combining for a strong interior presence.
Stephen F. Austin’s scoring depth, rebounding edge, and defensive efficiency create a clear mismatch. Houston Christian does not have a consistent 15 to 20 point scorer, and that becomes critical late in games.
Prediction: Stephen F. Austin 78, Houston Christian 65
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Best Picks
- Stephen F. Austin to cover the spread
- Under the total if it trends into the mid 140s based on both teams’ recent scoring patterns.
