TCU Horned Frogs vs Ohio State Buckeyes Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/19/2026, 12:15 AM ET

The TCU Horned Frogs take on the Ohio State Buckeyes at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, South Carolina, with tip-off set for 12:15 PM on CBS. Ohio State enters as a -142 favorite while TCU is +120, and the total is set at 145.5 with the Buckeyes favored by 2.5 points. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more tournament action and daily selections.

Horned Frogs Riding Momentum into Tournament Play

TCU comes into this matchup with a 22-11 record and has been competitive down the stretch, recently winning over Oklahoma State, Cincinnati, Texas Tech, and Kansas State while recently losing to Kansas. Their ability to string together wins shows they can compete with strong teams when playing at their pace.

The Horned Frogs average 78.3 points per game while allowing 72.1, shooting 45% from the field. They also contribute 36.2 rebounds and 15.6 assists per game, showing a balanced offensive attack with solid ball movement.

One key strength for TCU is their defensive activity, as they average 7.7 steals and 4.5 blocks per game. This defensive pressure can disrupt opposing offenses and create transition opportunities.

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Buckeyes Lean on Efficiency and Scoring

Ohio State enters at 21-12 overall and has also been playing well, recently winning over Iowa, Indiana, Penn State, and Purdue while recently losing to Michigan. Their recent stretch highlights their ability to compete against top competition.

The Buckeyes are averaging 79.8 points per game while allowing 72.8 and shooting an efficient 49% from the field. They also add 33.2 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game, relying on efficiency rather than volume.

Ohio State’s biggest edge comes from their shooting efficiency and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Their disciplined offensive approach allows them to stay consistent even in tight games.

TCU vs Ohio State Pick

Ohio State -2.5

Ohio State’s efficiency and ability to shoot at a high percentage give them a slight edge in what should be a competitive game. While TCU brings defensive pressure, the Buckeyes’ balanced scoring and composure should allow them to pull away late.

TCU vs Ohio State Total Pick

Under 145.5

I’m leaning toward the under here because both teams have solid defensive metrics and can slow the pace when needed. In a tournament setting, possessions become more valuable, and I expect a more controlled tempo overall.

Final Score Prediction: Ohio State 72, TCU 68

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