Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 28, 2026

By: Jake Allman Published 02/28/2026, 02:50 AM ET

Texas heads to Reed Arena to face Texas A&M on Saturday at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The Longhorns sit at 17-11 overall and 8-7 in SEC play, while the Aggies come in at 19-9 and 9-6 in conference action. ESPN’s matchup predictor gives Texas A&M a 65.1 percent edge, which reflects the Aggies’ stronger scoring and home-court advantage. Slam dunk your bets with our College Basketball picks.

Texas Preview

Texas averages 84.6 points per game while shooting 49.5 percent from the field and 35.4 percent from three. Dailyn Swain leads the way with 18.0 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 3.2 assists per game, shooting an efficient 56.2 percent from the floor and 81.0 percent at the line. Matas Vokietaitis adds 15.6 points and 6.9 rebounds on 63.6 percent shooting, giving Texas a strong interior presence. The Longhorns have dropped back-to-back games against Florida and Georgia, allowing 84 and 91 points in those losses, so recent defensive consistency is a concern.

Texas A&M Preview

Texas A&M scores 88.7 points per game and distributes the ball at a much higher rate, averaging 19.0 assists compared to Texas’ 12.3. Rashaun Agee leads the Aggies with 14.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, while Marcus Hill and Rylan Griffen both average around 11 points. Griffen shoots 41.7 percent from three, and Rubén Dominguez adds 40.4 percent from deep, giving Texas A&M multiple perimeter threats. The Aggies also generate 8.0 steals per game, which could be key against a Texas team averaging 11 turnovers per contest.

Texas vs Texas A&M Prediction

This matchup sets up as a battle between Texas’ efficient scoring and Texas A&M’s balance and ball movement. Texas A&M has lost two of its last four, including a 99-84 defeat at Arkansas, but the Aggies have been productive offensively at home. Texas has allowed 75.7 points per game on the season, but the recent slide suggests that number is trending in the wrong direction against stronger competition.

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Texas A&M’s ability to spread the floor and share the ball stands out in this spot. At home, with the deeper rotation and stronger assist numbers, the Aggies are positioned to control tempo and create better shot quality.

Prediction: Texas A&M 88, Texas 81

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