Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Wichita State Shockers, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 14, 2026
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane (20-5, 8-3 American Athletic Conference) travel to Wichita, KS to face the Wichita State Shockers (15-10, 7-5 AAC) on Friday, February 14, 2026, at Charles Koch Arena. Get in on the action with our free NCAAB picks.
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Analysis
Tulsa enters this game as one of the AAC’s more efficient offensive teams with a 20-5 overall record and 8-3 in league play. The Golden Hurricane lead the conference in multiple offensive categories.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 86
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FG%: 49%
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3P%: 38.7%
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Rebounds: 38.3 RPG
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Assists: 15.4 APG
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Points Allowed: 72.9
Strengths
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David Green (G): Leading scorer at 16.6 PPG with elite efficiency and perimeter shooting (nearly 40% from three).
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Miles Barnstable (G): High-efficiency perimeter scorer (14.8 PPG) and one of the conference’s best free-throw shooters (over 90%).
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Tylen Riley (G): Secondary creator and assist leader (100 assists on the season) provides stability and ball movement.
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Balanced attack: Tulsa’s starters have a high combined +/- rating (+123), reflecting their effectiveness on both ends.
Weaknesses
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Turnovers vs pressure: Against aggressive defenses, Tulsa can occasionally give up possessions.
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Defense vs high tempo: Slower defensive rotations can be exploited by athletic opponents.
Wichita State Shockers Analysis
Wichita State enters at 15-10 and 7-5 in AAC play after a narrow loss to Tulsa earlier this month (93-83). The Shockers rank among national leaders in offensive rebounding (about 14.7 offensive boards per game), generating extra possessions that bolster scoring opportunities.
Team Overview and Metrics
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PPG: 77
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FG%: 44%
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3P%: 35%
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Rebounds: 40.4 RPG
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Assists: 12 APG
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Points Allowed: 69.9
Strengths
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Offensive rebounding: Top five nationally in offensive rebounds per game, creating second-chance points and rhythm.
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Kenyon Giles (G): Consistent scorer with 10+ points in 22 of 25 games, including 11 20-point outings.
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Dillon Battie (G/F): Emerging as a dual threat, averaging 14.5 PPG over his last two games.
Weaknesses
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Close losses: Seven of Wichita State’s 10 losses have come by 6 points or fewer, signaling vulnerability in tight finishes.
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Defensive consistency: Wichita State’s defense must tighten perimeter rotations and transition coverage to counter Tulsa’s shooting.
Standout Players and Key Matchups
Tulsa
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David Green: Lead scorer and perimeter threat.
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Miles Barnstable: Efficient scorer and free-throw presence.
Wichita State
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Kenyon Giles: Go-to scorer and consistent offensive force.
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Dillon Battie: Versatile scorer and rebounder for the Shockers.
Tulsa vs Wichita State Prediction Reasoning
This matchup is expected to be competitive with Tulsa’s elite offensive profile facing Wichita State’s rebounding strength and home crowd energy. Tulsa’s depth and shooting percentages give it a slight edge, especially given its ability to space the floor and force defenses to rotate. Wichita State’s rebounding threat and balanced attack, however, make this a close contest that could come down to late possessions.
If the Shockers can control the glass and limit Tulsa’s free-throw generation, they have the tools to steal home-court advantage. Tulsa’s efficiency and balanced scoring, though, likely tilt the game in the Golden Hurricane’s favor down the stretch.
Final Score Projection:
Tulsa 83, Wichita State 78
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