Tulsa vs New Mexico State Picks and Predictions for Saturday December 13, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 12/13/2025, 12:45 AM ET

Tulsa and New Mexico State meet Saturday afternoon at Comerica Center in Frisco, Texas, with tip-off at 3:00 PM ET. Tulsa enters this neutral-site matchup at 9-1 overall and riding a six-game winning streak, while New Mexico State sits at 6-2 and has dropped two straight. ESPN Analytics gives Tulsa a 73.9 percent chance to win. Tulsa has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country through the opening month. Big board, bigger value — see our winning college basketball predictions.

Tulsa Preview

Tulsa is averaging 90.7 points per game while shooting 49 percent from the field, and that production has been consistent regardless of opponent. The Golden Hurricane have scored at least 81 points in five straight games, including wins of 117-84, 98-74, and 111-60 in recent outings. Miles Barnstable leads the way at 14.6 points per game on 52.7 percent shooting, while Tylen Riley adds 13.2 points and 3.7 assists per contest. Tulsa also spaces the floor well, shooting 39 percent from three and converting 78.3 percent at the free-throw line.

Beyond scoring, Tulsa controls games with balance and ball movement. The Golden Hurricane average 17.3 assists per game and pull down 40.5 rebounds, limiting second-chance opportunities. Opponents are being held to 69.7 points per game, which has allowed Tulsa to dictate tempo once leads are built. That combination of scoring and steady stops has turned most games into comfortable wins rather than last-minute victories.

New Mexico State Preview

New Mexico State comes in allowing just 65.9 points per game, but recent results suggest cracks against better competition. The Aggies lost at Abilene Christian 77-69 and followed that with a 77-75 home loss to South Alabama. Jemel Jones leads the offense at 16.5 points per game, though he is shooting 42.2 percent from the field and just 30.6 percent from three. Julius Mims provides interior presence with 7.0 rebounds per game, but consistent scoring options beyond Jones have been limited.

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Offensively, New Mexico State averages 74.0 points per game on 43 percent shooting and only 12.9 assists per contest. That lack of ball movement can become a problem against teams that apply steady pressure and force half-court execution. The Aggies do generate 8.1 steals per game, but Tulsa has shown an ability to handle pressure and turn defense into transition scoring. If New Mexico State cannot slow Tulsa early, this matchup could slip away quickly.

Tulsa vs New Mexico State Prediction and Best Bets

Tulsa has clear edges in scoring, shooting, and recent form. Expect the Golden Hurricane to push tempo and stretch the Aggies over 40 minutes. The pick is Tulsa to win and cover, with a projected final score of Tulsa 88, New Mexico State 72. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Tulsa. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for New Mexico State with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Tulsa vs New Mexico State you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

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