UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons Picks and Prediction for Saturday, February 21, 2026
The UNLV Rebels travel to Colorado Springs to face the Air Force Falcons on Saturday afternoon at Clune Arena. UNLV is 13-13 overall and 8-7 in Mountain West play, sitting in the middle of the conference standings after a 91-86 home loss to Colorado State. Air Force is 3-23 overall and 0-15 in conference action, last in the Mountain West following a 98-61 road loss at New Mexico. Get a betting edge with our free college basketball picks.
Game Information
- Date: Saturday, February 21
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Location: Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, CO
- TV: MWN
UNLV Rebels
UNLV averages 79.5 points per game and has relied on Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn as its primary option, as he averages 19.8 points while shooting 50.0% from the field and nearly 40% from three-point range. Kimani Hamilton is the second leading scorer at 12.3 points per game, giving the Rebels a steady scorer when Gibbs-Lawhorn is covered. Howie Fleming Jr. averages 5.6 rebounds and leads the team with 3.2 assists per contest, while Tyrin Jones anchors the paint with 2.0 blocks per game. Gibbs-Lawhorn also leads the Rebels with 1.6 steals per game. UNLV shoots 46.5% as a team and averages 35.5 rebounds, numbers that have helped it consistently reach the upper 70s offensively.
Injury Report: Ladji Dembele Out.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 79.5
- Points Allowed: 79.2
- Rebounds: 35.5
- Assists: 14.0
- Steals: 7.9
- Blocks: 4.4
- Turnovers: 12.3
Air Force Falcons
Air Force averages 61.4 points per game and has struggled to generate consistent offense in conference play. Lucas Hobin averages 11.8 points per game to lead the Falcons, while Kam Sanders averages 11.6 points as the second scoring option and adds a team-high 3.6 assists. Eli Robinson leads the team with 5.0 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game, and Wesley Celichowski provides interior size with 0.5 blocks per contest. The Falcons shoot 42.4% from the field and average 28.9 rebounds, and they have been held under 75 points in four of their last five outings.
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Injury Report: Caleb Walker, Eli Robinson, Chris Catchings, Keaton Frisch Questionable.
Key Stats – Per Game
- Points: 61.4
- Points Allowed: 79.7
- Rebounds: 28.9
- Assists: 12.3
- Steals: 5.7
- Blocks: 2.5
- Turnovers: 15.1
UNLV Rebels vs Air Force Falcons Prediction
UNLV averages nearly 18 more points per game than Air Force and holds a clear rebounding edge at 35.5 per game compared to 28.9. The Rebels shoot over four percentage points better from the field and feature the top scorer on the floor in Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn. Air Force has struggled defensively, allowing nearly 80 points per game while producing limited offensive output. UNLV’s scoring balance and defensive playmaking will give the Rebels control throughout. Final Score Prediction: UNLV Rebels win and cover ATS, 82-66.
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