UT Arlington Mavericks vs Utah Valley Wolverines Picks and Prediction for Friday March 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/13/2026, 02:25 AM ET

The UT Arlington Mavericks face the Utah Valley Wolverines in the WAC Tournament Semifinal on Friday, March 13, 2026, at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN+. Utah Valley enters the matchup as a 7.5-point favorite with the total set at 135.5. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

UT Arlington Fighting Through the Bracket

UT Arlington enters the WAC Tournament Semifinal with an 18-13 overall record and a 9-9 mark in WAC play. The Mavericks advanced after recently winning over Southern Utah 69-63 in the quarterfinal round. Over their last five games, UT Arlington has recently won over Southern Utah, Abilene Christian, and Tarleton State while recently losing to California Baptist and Utah Valley.

On the season, UT Arlington averages 70.2 points per game while allowing 66.7 points per contest. The Mavericks shoot 44% from the field and average 36.9 rebounds with 12.0 assists per game. Defensively, UT Arlington records 3.7 blocks and 7.4 steals per contest while relying on rebounding and defensive pressure to control games.

In the quarterfinal win over Southern Utah, Marcell McCreary led the Mavericks with 18 points while Raysean Seamster dominated the glass with 12 rebounds. UT Arlington struggled offensively, shooting just 34% from the field and 18% from three-point range, but their rebounding advantage of 50-40 helped them grind out the victory. With the Mavericks now facing Utah Valley on a short turnaround, energy and shooting efficiency will be key factors.

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Utah Valley Wolverines Enter Rested with Offensive Firepower

Utah Valley enters the WAC Tournament Semifinal with a 24-7 overall record and a strong 14-4 mark in conference play. The Wolverines earned a bye into the semifinal round thanks to their regular-season performance. Over their last five games, Utah Valley has recently won over Utah Tech, Southern Utah, Abilene Christian, Tarleton State, and UT Arlington.

On the season, Utah Valley averages 81.2 points per game while allowing 68.7 points per contest. The Wolverines shoot an impressive 51% from the field and average 36.9 rebounds with 18.9 assists per game. Defensively, Utah Valley records 5.6 blocks and 9.6 steals per contest while combining efficient offense with active defensive pressure.

In their most recent game against Utah Tech, Sherman Weatherspoon IV led Utah Valley with 27 points while Jackson Holcombe pulled down nine rebounds. The Wolverines shot 50% from the field and knocked down 13 three-pointers in a high-scoring double-overtime victory. With extra rest and one of the most efficient offenses in the WAC, Utah Valley enters this semifinal matchup with momentum.

UT Arlington vs Utah Valley Pick

UT Arlington vs Utah Valley Spread Pick

Pick: Utah Valley -7.5

Utah Valley already defeated UT Arlington earlier this season and enters this matchup with a clear offensive advantage. The Wolverines shoot over 50% from the field and generate nearly 19 assists per game, which allows them to consistently create high-quality scoring opportunities. With UT Arlington coming off a physically demanding quarterfinal and struggling offensively in that game, Utah Valley is in a strong position to control the tempo and cover the spread.

UT Arlington vs Utah Valley Total Pick

Pick: Over 135.5

I like the over in this matchup because Utah Valley’s offense has been extremely efficient and capable of scoring in bunches. The Wolverines recently scored over 100 points in a double-overtime win and consistently push the pace with strong ball movement. UT Arlington’s rebounding and defensive pressure should also create extra possessions, which could push this game above the total.

Final Score Prediction: Utah Valley 78, UT Arlington 66

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