UTSA vs. Texas State Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 12, 2025

By: Jake Allman Published 11/12/2025, 12:30 AM ET

The UTSA Roadrunners head to San Marcos to take on the Texas State Bobcats at Strahan Arena. The opening tip-off is set for 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Both teams look to rebound after recent losses and build early momentum. From buzzer-beaters to spreads, we’ve locked in sharp college basketball picks.

UTSA Preview

UTSA enters this matchup at 1-1, showing both solid play and inconsistency through its first two games. The Roadrunners opened the season with a commanding 97-30 win over CBS before falling flat in a 77-60 defeat to SIUE. UTSA’s scoring average sits at 78.5 points per game, while holding opponents to just 53.5 points—an encouraging margin built mostly from the dominant opening blowout win over a much less talented opponent. Guard Jamir Simpson leads the team with 14.5 points per game, though shooting has been a concern at 37 percent from the field. The Roadrunners have moved the ball well early, averaging 15.5 assists and 12 steals per game, but will need better half-court execution against a more athletic Bobcats team. Rebounding has been a clear strength, with UTSA pulling down 50 boards per game, creating extra opportunities through hustle in the paint. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on UTSA.

Texas State Preview

Texas State stands at 1-2 after solid play mixed with defensive mistakes. The Bobcats picked up a blowout win over Texas A&M-SA, 114-55, sandwiched between road losses at Bowling Green and Tulane. The offense averages 77.7 points per game on 48.9 percent shooting, led by forward Mark Drone’s 11 points per game scoring average and a balanced attack that thrives in and around the paint. Texas State’s perimeter play has been inconsistent, but pace and shot selection at home tend to improve, as last year’s 10-4 home record proves. The Bobcats are averaging just 34 rebounds per game, though they’ve compensated somewhat by forcing turnovers and pushing transition chances when possible. Maintaining defensive energy against a bigger UTSA frontcourt will be crucial if they hope to control tempo. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on social for Texas State with the social sportsbooks.

Texas State vs UTSA Prediction

This matchup shapes up as a battle of dominant rebounding versus shooting. UTSA’s advantage on the glass could frustrate Texas State’s rhythm, but the Bobcats’ superior shooting numbers and home-court advantage make them a slight favorite. Expect a physical, possession-heavy contest that tightens up in the second half as both sides trade scoring runs. Getting the most out of your bets on Texas State vs UTSA can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

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Prediction: Texas State 73, UTSA 69

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