VCU Rams vs North Carolina Tar Heels Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/19/2026, 01:00 AM ET

The VCU Rams face the North Carolina Tar Heels at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, South Carolina, with tip-off set for 6:50 PM on TNT. North Carolina comes in as a -155 favorite while VCU is +130, with the total set at 152.5 and the Tar Heels favored by 2.5 points. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more tournament coverage and expert selections.

Rams Bring Winning Streak into Tournament

VCU enters this matchup with a 27-7 record and excellent recent form, recently winning over Dayton (twice), Saint Joseph’s, Duquesne, and George Mason. Their strong finish to the season highlights their ability to play consistently on both ends of the floor.

The Rams are averaging 81.6 points per game while allowing 71.5, shooting 46% from the field. They also contribute 36.7 rebounds and 14.1 assists per game, showing a balanced offensive attack.

One of VCU’s biggest strengths is their defensive pressure, as they average 7.4 steals and 4.4 blocks per game. This allows them to disrupt opposing offenses and create additional scoring opportunities.

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Tar Heels Look to Bounce Back

North Carolina comes into this game with a 24-8 record and has faced tough competition recently, recently winning over Clemson, Virginia Tech, and Louisville while recently losing to Clemson and Duke. Their schedule has prepared them for high-level matchups.

The Tar Heels are averaging 79.8 points per game while allowing 71.3, shooting 47% from the field. They also add 38.0 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game, highlighting their balanced approach.

North Carolina’s strength lies in their ability to control the glass and move the ball effectively. Their rebounding advantage and offensive efficiency can be key factors in a close game.

VCU vs North Carolina Pick

North Carolina -2.5

North Carolina’s experience against tougher competition and their ability to control the boards give them a slight edge in this matchup. While VCU is playing well, the Tar Heels’ balance and efficiency should allow them to edge this one out.

VCU vs North Carolina Total Pick

Over 152.5

I like the over here because both teams have shown the ability to score and play at a solid pace. With efficient offenses on both sides, this game has the potential to turn into a higher-scoring contest.

Final Score Prediction: North Carolina 80, VCU 76

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