Wichita State Shockers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Picks and Predictions for Sunday March 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/22/2026, 01:55 AM ET

The Wichita State Shockers and Oklahoma State Cowboys meet in the NIT – 2nd Round at Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Oklahoma, on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 8:30 PM ET, with the game airing on ESPN2. Oklahoma State enters this matchup as a 3.5-point favorite with the total set at 164.5. This matchup features a Wichita State team built on rebounding and physicality against an Oklahoma State squad that thrives offensively, particularly at home. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert insights on today’s tournament action.

Wichita State Shockers: Physical Play and Rebounding Edge

Wichita State comes into this contest with a 23-11 overall record and a strong 14-6 mark in AAC play, along with a solid 7-4 record on the road. In NIT action, the Shockers advanced with a 74-70 win over Wyoming. Looking at recent form, Wichita State has recently won over Wyoming, recently lost to South Florida, recently won over Tulsa, recently won over Florida Atlantic, and recently won over UTSA. This stretch highlights a team that has been competitive and capable of stringing together wins, particularly when controlling the pace.

From a statistical standpoint, Wichita State averages 77.5 points per game while allowing 70.4, showing a balanced approach on both ends of the floor. They shoot 44% from the field and are particularly strong on the glass, averaging 41.4 rebounds per game. Offensively, they generate 11.6 assists per game while contributing 6.0 steals and 3.9 blocks defensively. Their rebounding advantage is a major strength and often leads to second-chance opportunities.

In their first-round victory, Wichita State leaned heavily on rebounding dominance and interior scoring. TJ Williams led the team with 17 points and also grabbed an impressive 14 rebounds, leading in both categories. The Shockers dominated the glass 55-34, which was the key difference in the game. However, they struggled from the perimeter and at the free-throw line, shooting just 28% from three-point range and 57% from the line. If Wichita State can improve its shooting efficiency while maintaining its rebounding edge, it could create problems for Oklahoma State.

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Oklahoma State Cowboys: Offensive Firepower at Home

Oklahoma State enters this matchup with a 20-14 overall record and a 7-13 mark in Big 12 play, but they have been particularly strong at home with a 15-5 record. In NIT action, the Cowboys advanced with an 84-80 win over Davidson. Over their last five games, Oklahoma State has recently won over Davidson, recently lost to TCU, recently won over Colorado, recently lost to Houston, and recently won over UCF. This pattern shows a team that can score at a high level but has struggled with consistency against tougher competition.

Statistically, Oklahoma State averages 84.3 points per game while allowing 82.8, reflecting a fast-paced, offense-first approach. They shoot 46% from the field and average 38.0 rebounds and 14.7 assists per game. Defensively, they contribute 7.1 steals and 2.6 blocks per contest, but their high points allowed total suggests vulnerability, particularly against teams that can control tempo.

In their opening-round win, Oklahoma State relied on offensive efficiency and rebounding. Kanye Clary led the team with 20 points, while Christian Coleman controlled the boards with 13 rebounds. The Cowboys shot 50% from the field and 47% from three-point range, showing strong offensive execution. Their ability to score efficiently and capitalize on home-court energy will be key in this matchup, especially against a Wichita State team that prefers a more physical, slower-paced game.

Wichita State Shockers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Pick

Wichita State Shockers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Spread Pick

Pick: Wichita State +3.5

Wichita State’s rebounding advantage and defensive discipline make them a strong underdog in this matchup. While Oklahoma State has the more explosive offense, their defensive inconsistencies could be exposed by Wichita State’s physical play. If the Shockers can control the glass and limit second-chance opportunities, they have a strong chance to not only cover but potentially win outright.

Wichita State Shockers vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Total Pick

Pick: Under 164.5

I like the under in this matchup because Wichita State will likely try to slow the pace and control possessions. Their rebounding and physical style often lead to longer possessions and fewer scoring opportunities. While Oklahoma State prefers a faster tempo, I expect Wichita State to dictate the flow of the game enough to keep the total under.

Final Score Prediction: Wichita State 80, Oklahoma State 77

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