Yale Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide, Picks and Prediction for Monday, December 29, 2025

By: Garrett Beaverson Published 12/29/2025, 03:50 AM ET

The Yale Bulldogs (11-1) travel to Tuscaloosa to take on the No. 14 Alabama Crimson Tide (9-3) on Monday, December 29, 2025 at Coleman Coliseum. Get in on the action with our free college basketball picks.

Yale Bulldogs Analysis

Yale enters this game as one of college basketball’s most efficient offensive teams early in the season. The Bulldogs score at a high clip, shoot exceptionally well from three, and boast one of the top field-goal percentages nationally.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • Record: 11-1

  • Points per game: 87.3

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  • Field-goal %: 52.1%

  • 3-point %: 43.4%

  • Free-throw %: 79.6%

  • Rebounds per game: 35.0

  • Assists per game: 17.8

Strengths

  • Elite shooting: Yale ranks in the top 10 nationally in field-goal and three-point percentage.

  • Balanced scoring: Four players average double figures — Nick Townsend (16.9 ppg), Isaac Celiscar (13.7–13.9 ppg), Riley Fox (12.8 ppg), and Trevor Mullin (10.2 ppg).

Weaknesses

  • Experience gap: Yale’s strength of schedule is lighter than Alabama’s, which could show against elite athleticism.

  • Defense vs. elite pace: The Bulldogs allow quality shots and can struggle to contain elite shooters. Yale yields about 71.1 points per game allowed in its schedule so far.

Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis

Alabama enters as a nationally ranked team known for prolific scoring and three-point volume. The Crimson Tide average near 94 points per game, fueled by efficient shooting, deep ball success, and multiple offensive creators.

Team Overview and Metrics

  • Record: 9-3

  • Points per game: 93.9

  • Field-goal %: 47%

  • 3-pointers made per game: 12.3

  • Rebounds per game: 41.8

  • Assists per game: 17.3

Strengths

  • Explosive scoring: Alabama ranks among the top scoring teams in the country at nearly 94 points per game.

  • Three-point volume: Alabama averages more made threes than most opponents allow, putting pressure on defenses.

  • Frontcourt presence: Aiden Sherrell is a significant factor with shot creation and rim protection, and Labaron Philon Jr. averages 21.9 points per game.

Weaknesses

  • Defensive consistency: Alabama allows around 81.9 points per game, which Yale can exploit with efficient shooting.

Standout Players and Key Matchups

Yale

  • Nick Townsend: Leading scorer and strong rebounder (16.9 ppg, 7.6 rpg).

  • Isaac Celiscar: Secondary scoring threat with consistent production.

Alabama

  • Labaron Philon Jr.: Efficient high-usage scorer (21.9 ppg).

  • Aiden Sherrell: Big-man presence with scoring and rebounds.

  • Aden Holloway: Consistent perimeter threat (12.9 ppg over last 10 games).

Alabama vs Yale Prediction Reasoning

 Alabama’s advantage in depth, athleticism, and three-point volume gives them the upper hand, but Yale’s offensive efficiency and hot shooting could keep this closer than expected. Check out all the sportsbook promos to see if you are getting a great deal on your bets on Alabama. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Yale with the Kickr promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Yale vs Aabama you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Projection: Alabama 94, Yale 82

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Best Picks

  • Yale +16.5
  • Under 176.5 total points
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