Youngstown State Penguins vs Robert Morris Colonials Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 4 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/04/2026, 01:00 AM ET

The Youngstown State Penguins travel to the UPMC Events Center to take on the Robert Morris Colonials on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, with tip-off set for 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. This Horizon League matchup features a Robert Morris team that has been one of the hottest squads in the conference over the last few weeks. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free college basketball picks for more expert betting insight and daily selections.

Youngstown State Seeking Stability

Youngstown State enters this matchup at 15-16 overall and 8-12 in Horizon League play. The Penguins have gone 2-3 over their last five games, recently falling to Green Bay 85-63 and Milwaukee 78-65, while earning wins over Northern Kentucky 64-58 and Cleveland State 106-82 during that stretch.

Offensively, Youngstown State averages 77.6 points per game while shooting 47% from the field. They distribute the ball well with 14.6 assists per contest and grab 34.0 rebounds per game. When their offense is clicking, they are capable of putting up big numbers, as evidenced by their 106-point performance against Cleveland State.

Defensively, the Penguins allow 73.2 points per game, one of the better marks in the conference among mid-tier teams. They average 3.6 blocks and 6.8 steals per contest, using their defensive activity to create transition opportunities. However, inconsistency on the road has limited their success.

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Robert Morris Playing Complete Basketball

Robert Morris comes into the contest at 21-10 overall and 13-7 in conference play. The Colonials have won five straight games, including victories over Cleveland State 83-64, Detroit Mercy 73-62, Wright State 81-68, Oakland 93-69, and another win over Cleveland State 85-68.

The Colonials average 78.2 points per game while shooting 47% from the field. They are excellent at sharing the basketball, averaging 17.9 assists per game, which is among the best in the Horizon League. On the boards, they pull down 37.7 rebounds per contest, giving them a consistent edge in second-chance scoring.

Defensively, Robert Morris allows just 72.8 points per game and has been particularly sharp during their recent winning streak. While they are not an aggressive steal team at 5.7 per contest, their disciplined half-court defense forces tough shots and limits easy opportunities.

Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Pick

Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Spread Pick

Robert Morris Colonials - Spread (if favored)

Robert Morris has been the more consistent and complete team, winning five straight and dominating several of those matchups. Their rebounding advantage and elite ball movement should create high-quality scoring opportunities against a Youngstown State team that has struggled in recent road games. With momentum and home-court advantage, Robert Morris is the stronger side.

Youngstown State vs Robert Morris Total Pick

Under #

While both teams can score, Robert Morris’ defensive discipline and ability to control tempo could slow this game down. The Colonials allow just 72.8 points per game and have held opponents under 70 in several recent contests. I expect a competitive but controlled pace that keeps this total slightly under.

Final Score Prediction: Robert Morris 80, Youngstown State 71

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