Air Force vs Navy Picks and Predictions for Saturday October 4 2025

By: Jeremy O'Quinn Updated 10/03/2025, 11:13 PM ET

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The Air Force Falcons are headed to Annapolis to take on the Navy Midshipmen in the 2025 Commander-in-Chief’s Trophy game on Saturday, October 4. Don’t bet blind—our free college football predictions show you where the value is. The Falcons enter the matchup with a 1–3 overall record and 0–3 in Mountain West play. In their most recent game, Air Force fell 44–35 to Hawai‘i.   The contest was a shootout, and while the Falcons’ offense produced yardage, their defense struggled to contain Hawai‘i’s attack in the second half.  Quarterback Liam Szarka continues to lead the offense, and wideout Cade Harris remains a go-to target in Air Force’s less conventional passing mix.

Navy comes into the game 4–0 overall, 3–0 in conference play under head coach Brian Newberry.  In their latest matchup, the Midshipmen edged Rice 21–13 on the road.   Navy leaned heavily on the run, outgaining Rice 283 to 120 on the ground. Quarterback Blake Horvath rushed for 110 yards and two touchdowns and passed for 172 yards. The defense from the Navy was impressive in this game, especially in the second half, keeping Rice from mounting a comeback.

Air Force vs Navy Prediciton

The Navy Midshipman are hoping to build off a win over Hawaii, while the Air Force comes off a loss against Hawaii. The Navy have been a really strong team this season, expect them to comfortably take this one. Final score prediction, Navy wins 28-16 and covers the -8.5 spread.

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