Ball State vs Toledo Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 22, 2025

By: David Anicetti Updated 11/22/2025, 01:32 AM ET

Ball State (4–6, 3–3 MAC) heads to Toledo (6–4, 4–2 MAC) in a late-season Mid-American Conference matchup with both teams still in the hunt for the conference title game. Ball State has traded wins and losses over its last four games and is coming off a 24–9 home loss to Eastern Michigan. Toledo has won two straight in convincing fashion, beating Miami (OH) 24–3 and Northern Illinois 42–3. Looking for today’s college football picks? Don’t miss our expert breakdowns.

Ball State vs Toledo Game Information

Kickoff: 2:00 PM ET, November 22
Where: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
TV: ESPN+

Ball State Cardinals Analyzed

Ball State’s offense is led by quarterback Kiael Kelly, who has 1,155 passing yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions on 57.4% passing. Kelly is also a major part of the ground game with 470 rushing yards, helping the Cardinals use designed keepers to move the chains. Running back Qua Ashley adds 525 rushing yards and four touchdowns, giving Ball State its main traditional back. In the passing game, Qian Magwood has 238 receiving yards, but this group has not produced many big plays.

The Cardinals average more than 120 rushing yards per game but have been inconsistent, scoring seven points or fewer in two of the last three losses. Up front, protection has been an issue, with Kelly taking 32 sacks this season. Defensively, linebacker Alfred Chea leads the team with 50 tackles, while defensive end Nathan Voorhis has an impressive 11 sacks, giving Ball State a true pass-rush threat. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for Ball State with the Fliff promo code.

Toledo Rockets Analyzed

Toledo is led by quarterback Tucker Gleason, who has thrown for 2,199 yards with 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions on 65.6% passing. The Rockets also have a solid running game led by Chip Trayanum, who has 728 rushing yards and nine touchdowns, while Kenji Christian has 441 rushing yards. Wide receiver Junior Vandeross III is the top target with 749 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.

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On defense, linebacker K’Von Sherman leads Toledo with 71 tackles, and safety Braden Awls has five interceptions. Defensive end Malachi Davis has five sacks, and the front has helped hold Miami (OH) and NIU to a combined six points in the last two games. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on Toledo.

Ball State vs Toledo Prediction

Ball State has some playmakers in Kelly and Ashley, but the offense has struggled to sustain drives, and pass protection remains a concern against an active Toledo front. The Rockets are more balanced, have the better quarterback, and are coming in with strong defensive form after back-to-back dominant wins. Final Score Prediction: Toledo Rockets win and cover ATS, 28–13. Make sure when you place your Ball State vs Toledo bet you are using the bet365 bonus code.