Florida Atlantic at Navy Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025
The Florida Atlantic Owls (3–4, 2–2 in the AAC) travel to Annapolis to face the Navy Midshipmen (6–0, 4–0 in the AAC) on Saturday, October 25, 2025. Don’t bet blind—our free college football predictions show you where the value is.
Florida Atlantic Owls Analysis
FAU enters with a solid passing attack but significant defensive and rushing-game concerns, especially in facing an option-heavy team like Navy.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Quarterback Caden Veltkamp leads the Owls through the air with 2,025 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions this season.
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Offensively, FAU averages ~425.6 total yards per game (42nd in FBS) and ~318 passing yards per game (4th in FBS), but just ~107.6 rushing yards per game (119th in FBS).
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Defensively, FAU allows ~396 yards per game (101st in FBS), with ~176.6 rushing yards allowed (110th in FBS) and ~219.4 passing yards allowed (65th).
Strengths: Explosive passing attack, strong production through the air. Weaknesses: Very weak rushing game, poor rush defense, big mismatch vs Navy’s identity.
Navy Midshipmen Analysis
Navy is flying high, unbeaten and dominating through its traditional strengths: the run game, disciplined defense, and efficiency.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Quarterback/runner Blake Horvath has 980 passing yards with 7 TDs, and 640 rushing yards with 8 rushing TDs.
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Offensively, Navy averages ~472.7 yards per game (14th in FBS), ~305 rushing yards per game (1st in FBS) and ~167.7 passing yards per game (119th in FBS). Scoring ~36.5 points per game (22nd).
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Defensively, Navy allows ~361 yards per game (65th in FBS), ~235.8 passing yards allowed (93rd) and ~125.2 rushing yards allowed (45th). Points allowed ~21.5 per game (47th).
Strengths: Elite rushing attack, disciplined defense against the rush, big home-field advantage, undefeated. Weaknesses: Passing game is limited (by design), so if FAU defends the rush and forces plays through the air it gives an opening.
Standout Players and Key Notes
Florida Atlantic:
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Caden Veltkamp: must keep mistakes low and use his passing firepower to exploit any defensive breakdowns.
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Receivers (e.g., Easton Messer) must beat man coverage and produce big plays, because FAU’s rush game won’t carry them.
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Defense must attempt to slow Navy’s run game early, especially on first and second down, to force longer drives.
Navy:
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Blake Horvath: dual-threat explosion; if he gets space early the game likely gets away fast.
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Running backs/fullbacks: they form the core of Navy’s rushing attack; controlling the line of scrimmage is key.
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Defense/Front Seven: must stop FAU from getting into rhythm through the air; cannot allow explosive passing plays.
Florida Atlanta vs Navy Prediction Reasoning
This matchup heavily favors Navy based on matchup dynamics and current form. FAU’s major weakness — rushing offense and defense — plays directly into Navy’s strengths. Navy is the dominant rushing team in FBS and thrives at home with disciplined execution.
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Final Score Projection: Navy Midshipmen 38, Florida Atlantic Owls 20
Best Picks
- Navy −14.5 spread
- Under 62.5 total points
