Florida International Panthers at Missouri State Bears Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, October 29, 2025
The Florida International Panthers (3-4, 1-2 CUSA) travel to Springfield to take on the Missouri State Bears (4-3, 2-1 CUSA) at Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Wednesday night. Get in on all the action with our free college football picks.
FIU Panthers Analysis
FIU comes into this matchup with some offensive capability but significant defensive challenges that could make this game difficult for them.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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QB Keyone Jenkins: 1,255 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, 4 interceptions this season.
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RB Kejon Owens: 824 rushing yards on 118 carries, 7 rushing touchdowns so far.
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FIU’s offense averages 396.7 yards per game (rank 66th) with 190.6 rushing yards per game (ranked 36th) but their defense allows 422.4 yards per game (rank 119th) and 269.7 passing yards per game (rank 127th).
Strengths:
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FIU can lean on its rushing attack to control pace.
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Jenkins has shown steady yardage and Owens is productive on the ground.
Weaknesses:
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Defensive performance is a major concern—especially versus the pass.
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Passing offense is modest in scoring (only 4 passing TDs so far) which limits big-play capability.
Missouri State Bears Analysis
Missouri State is slightly ahead in the standings and playing at home, and they have taken key steps in Conference USA play
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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QB Jacob Clark: 1,478 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, 8 interceptions.
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RB Shomari Lawrence: 446 rushing yards on 98 carries, 2 rushing touchdowns.
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Missouri State’s offense averages 373.4 yards per game (rank 77th), passing 267.1 yards per game (rank 37th in FBS) but just 106.3 rushing yards per game (rank 123rd). Defensively they allow 379.7 yards per game (rank 85th) and their scoring defense is 27.9 points per game (rank 95th).
Strengths:
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Stronger passing offense relative to FIU.
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Home-field advantage and recent conference performance momentum.
Weaknesses:
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Run game is limited, which could hamper if FIU loads the box.
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Defense still yields too many yards and points; needs improvement to win comfortably.
Standout Players and Key Notes
FIU:
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Keyone Jenkins: Must protect the ball and utilize his rushing game to complement passing.
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Kejon Owens: Will be critical in controlling tempo and keeping Missouri State’s offense off the field.
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Defense: Must improve tackling and third-down stops to stay competitive.
Missouri State:
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Jacob Clark: Needs to maintain passing efficiency and avoid turnovers.
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Shomari Lawrence: When he gets going, the Bears can relieve pressure from the passing game.
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Home advantage + momentum
Missouri State vs FIU Prediction Reasoning
This matchup shows a distinct edge for Missouri State on paper. However, we are not sold on the Bears. Florida International certainly has the rushing attack to compete in this one. On the other side, Missouri State looked vulnerable against a middling New Mexico State team in their last game. Missouri State needed several NMSU mistakes to steal a win in OT.
We like the value on FIU.
Final Score Projection: Missouri State 17, FIU 21
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Best Picks
- Florida International ML
- Under 50.5 total points
