Sam Houston at Oregon State — Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025
The Bearkats (0-8) travel to Corvallis to face the Beavers (2-7) on Saturday night at Reser Stadium. Don’t bet blind—our free college football predictions show you where the value is.
Sam Houston Bearkats Analysis
Sam Houston has endured a very difficult season so far, both offensively and defensively. Their record reflects deep issues in all phases.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Offense: 321.8 yards per game (117th in FBS) with passing 183.3 yards/game (111th) and rushing 138.5 yards/game (90th) for Sam Houston.
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Scoring: 16.6 points per game (129th in FBS).
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Defense: Allows 480 yards per game (136th in FBS) with 266 passing yards/game (125th) and 214 rushing yards/game (133rd). Points allowed: 40.9 per game.
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Third-down conversion rate: Sam Houston converts only about 22.0% of third downs (136th ranking) while Oregon State defends third downs at 32.2% (20th ranking) — a big mismatch.
Strengths:
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The Bearkats have nothing to lose and may play with extra urgency.
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Some individual rushers have shown glimpses of production.
Weaknesses:
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Offense and defense both rank near the bottom nationally across key metrics.
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Road environment and facing a Pac-12 opponent with more resources adds to the challenge.
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Red zone offense is among the worst nationally (135th) and will struggle to finish drives.
Oregon State Beavers Analysis
The Beavers have had a rough season themselves (2–7) but match up significantly better in this contest than their opponent.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Offense: 348.1 yards per game (98th in FBS), passing 215.9 yards/game (87th), rushing 132.2 yards/game (97th). Scoring 19.9 points/game (117th) for Oregon State.
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Defense: Allows 396.9 yards per game (100th), 247.1 passing yards/game (108th), 149.8 rushing yards/game (74th).
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Team leaders:
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QB Maalik Murphy: 1,749 passing yards, 9 TDs, 8 INTs, 58.6% completion.
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RB Anthony Hankerson: 80 rushing yards on 179 carries, 7 rushing TDs.
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WR / RB / receiver Trent Walker: 631 receiving yards on 52 catches, still no receiving TDs.
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Strengths:
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Offensive balance between run and pass gives more versatility than Sam Houston.
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Slightly better defensive metrics, especially versus the run.
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Home environment and a need to regain momentum may provide incentive.
Weaknesses:
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The Beavers still have serious defensive vulnerabilities, especially in pass defense.
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Scoring offense remains among the lower half of FBS — not yet dominant.
Standout Players and Key Notes
Sam Houston:
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QB Hunter Watson: 1,108 passing yards, 5 TDs, 4 INTs, 57.1% completion.
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RB Landan Brown: 287 rushing yards on 54 carries, 2 TDs.
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WR Chris Reed: 231 receiving yards on 17 catches, 2 TDs.
Oregon State:
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Maalik Murphy: As above, key passing leader.
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Anthony Hankerson: As above, focal point of the rushing attack.
Sam Houston vs Oregon State Prediction Reasoning
This is a matchup where Oregon State holds a clear advantage. The statistical gap is significant: Sam Houston ranks near the bottom in nearly every key category, whereas Oregon State, while still flawed, is markedly better. The Bearkats simply must overcome too many deficiencies.
Final Score Projection: Oregon State 30, Sam Houston 10
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Best Picks
- Oregon State −19.5
- Under 53.5 total points
