Sam Houston State vs Texas Picks and Prediction, September 20, 2025

By: Thomas Pemberton Published 09/14/2025, 10:02 PM ET

The Texas Longhorns welcome the Sam Houston Bearkats into DKR Memorial Stadium on Saturday. Texas is a heavy -41.5 home favorite in this matchup. The Longhorns are 2-0 on their home field this season while the Bearkats are 0-2 on the road. Don't miss any of our expert's free college football picks.

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 2-1 on the season. Texas lost their last season opener to Ohio State by a touchdown but have won their next two. The Longhorns are averaging 382 total yards of offense per game while allowing 245 yards of offense per game. QB Arch Manning has 5 passing touchdowns on the season with 2 interceptions. Manning also has 61 rushing yards with a rushing touchdown. Running back CJ Baxter has been the workhorse on the ground for Texas. Baxter has 23 carries for 104 yards and 7 catches. WR Parker Livingstone has been the standout receiver. Livingstone has 175 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

Sam Houston Bearkats Preview

Sam Houston is still searching for their first win of the season after a 0-3 start. Sam Houston lost to Hawaii in their last game 37-20. Elijah Green and Malik Philips each had 3 catches in the loss. Sam Houston is averaging 320 yards of offense per game with 21.7 points scored. Sam Houston won down to their third string QB in their last game. QB Landyn Locke threw 10 passes for 68 yards and a touchdown. Sam Houston is allowing 442 yards of offense per game and have allowed an average of 38.7 points against.

Sam Houston State vs Texas Picks & Prediction

Both Sam Houston State and Texas are 0-3 against the spread on the season. Texas is the clear better team at home but they are laying an outrageous number of points. The Bearkats won't find their first win of the season but should find their first cover of the season.

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Final Score Prediction: Texas Longhorns win 38-14 but Sam Houston State covers ATS.