TCU vs. BYU Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025

By: Jake Allman Updated 11/15/2025, 12:18 AM ET

The Big 12 spotlight shifts to Provo on Saturday night when TCU visits No. 7 BYU at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET on ESPN. Both teams come in off contrasting results. TCU dropped a tough 20-17 loss to Iowa State, while BYU stumbled at Texas Tech but remains firmly in the conference race at 8-1 overall and 5-1 in conference play. Get the edge this weekend with our free college football picks backed by data and trends.

TCU Analysis

TCU enters at 6-3 and has been up and down in conference play. Quarterback Josh Hoover continues to produce, throwing for 2,371 yards with 22 touchdowns against six interceptions on 65 percent passing. The Horned Frogs’ passing game remains the best way to score points, but the run game has been inconsistent, with Kevorian Barnes managing 418 yards on 82 carries. Eric McAlister is the most reliable target, posting 727 yards and eight scores through the air. TCU’s ability to sustain drives has been streaky, highlighted by scoring just 17 points last week despite controlling long stretches of possession. On the other side of the ball, linebacker Kaleb Elarms-Orr leads with 80 tackles and four sacks, showing his knack for getting into the backfield and setting the tone.

BYU Analysis

BYU has handled business most of the year and looks to bounce back after its 29-7 loss at Texas Tech. Quarterback Bear Bachmeier has been steady, throwing for 1,693 yards with 11 touchdowns and three interceptions while keeping the offense balanced. The Cougars’ ground game has carried real weight behind LJ Martin’s 789 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 132 carries, helping them control tempo in close games. Chase Roberts adds a steady 591 yards and four scores as Bachmeier’s top receiving option. BYU’s front seven, led by Jack Kelly with five sacks, consistently generates pressure, while safety Faletau Satuala’s 53 tackles help keep big plays in check. Playing at home, they’ve been dominant, winning five straight in Provo before last week’s setback.

TCU vs BYU Free Pick

The game figures to hinge on whether TCU’s offense can handle BYU’s physical front and avoid turnovers in a raucous environment. The Horned Frogs have the arm talent to test BYU deep, but BYU’s balanced approach and superior efficiency on third down should dictate the flow. Expect BYU to lean on Martin early, force Hoover into uncomfortable down-and-distance situations, and wear down TCU late.

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Prediction: BYU 31, TCU 21