Texas vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 25, 2025

By: Dylan Hellebrand Updated 10/24/2025, 11:52 PM ET

On Saturday, the Texas Longhorns (5-2) face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. This game will be aired on the SEC Network. Win or lose comes down to preparation—see today’s college football predictions from the experts.

Game Information for Texas vs Mississippi State

October 25, 2025
4:15pm EST
Davis Wade Stadium
SEC Network
67° cloudy/rainy at start time

Mississippi State Form & Recent Results

Mississippi State heads into this matchup hoping to snap a three-game losing streak, having won just two of their last five games. In their narrow 23-21 loss to Florida, quarterback Blake Shapen completed 24 of his 36 pass attempts, though he was picked off once during the game. Over the course of the season, Shapen has accumulated 1,525 passing yards. On the ground, running back Fluff Bothwell leads the team with 465 rushing yards, providing some stability to the Bulldogs’ offense. In the receiving corps, Brenen Thompson has emerged as a top target with 533 receiving yards, while Anthony Evans III has contributed 471 yards of his own. Defensively, Mississippi State has struggled at times, giving up an average of 21 points per game over their last five matchups. As they look to secure their first conference victory of the year, the Bulldogs are averaging 26.7 points per game on offense, showing that they have the potential to put points on the board but need to tighten up on the other side of the ball if they hope to get back in the win column.

Texas Form & Recent Results

Texas comes into this matchup riding the momentum of a two-game winning streak, having come out victorious in four of their last five games. Their most recent triumph was a gritty 16-13 overtime battle against Kentucky, where quarterback Arch Manning completed 12 of 27 passes. So far this season, Manning has accumulated 1,449 passing yards, establishing himself as a reliable leader for the Longhorns’ offense. On the ground, running back Quintrevion Wisner has contributed 222 rushing yards, helping to keep defenses honest and complementing the passing attack. In the receiving corps, Ryan Wingo has emerged as a top target with 320 yards, closely followed by Parker Livingstone, who has added 308 receiving yards of his own. During their last five games, Texas’ offense has been productive, averaging 28.4 points per game. For the season overall, the Longhorns have posted an average of 26.7 points per game as they aim for another important conference win. With key playmakers stepping up on both sides of the ball, Texas is looking to keep their winning streak alive and strengthen their position in the standings.

Key Players for Texas and Mississippi State

Texas QB Arch Manning: 114/189, 12 TD, 5 INT
Mississippi State QB Blake Shapen: 124/185, 9 TD, 5 INT

Betting Odds & Market Overview:

TEX -6.5; O/U 46.5

Texas vs Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

Mississippi State is still searching for its first conference victory this season, and they'll be hoping to finally break through when they host Texas at home. On the flip side, Texas will be aiming to pick up an important road win, which could help them climb higher in the AP Poll rankings. Final Score Prediction, Texas Longhorns win and cover the spread, 28-17.

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