Tulane at UTSA Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 30, 2025
Tulane (6-1, 3-0 AAC) travels to San Antonio to face UTSA (3-4, 1-2 AAC) at the Alamodome, with kickoff scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Get in on the action with our free college footabll picks.
Tulane Green Wave Analysis
The Green Wave have looked impressive this season, winning tight games and showing an ability to make plays in clutch moments.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Quarterback Jake Retzlaff has thrown for 1,428 yards, 6 touchdown passes, and also rushed for 450 yards and 8 rushing touchdowns.
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Tulane’s offense averages around 404.6 total yards per game, ranking 8th in the AAC, but only 25.9 points per game (10th in AAC).
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Defensively, Tulane allows 22.3 points per game (3rd in AAC) and 384.7 total yards per game (8th in AAC). They’ve been solid especially against the pass and opportunistic in takeaways.
Strengths:
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Balanced offense with a dynamic dual-threat quarterback
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Strong defense that limits big plays and controls tempo
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Experienced in close games (Tulane is 4-0 in games decided by 7 points or fewer)
Weaknesses:
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Scoring efficiency is modest — they may rack up yards but struggle to break away
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Third-quarter production has lagged at times (especially after strong openings)
UTSA Roadrunners Analysis
UTSA is having a challenging season so far. They’ll lean on home field to try to turn things around.
Key Player Stats & Team Metrics
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Running back Robert Henry Jr. leads UTSA with 868 rushing yards on 104 carries and 9 rushing touchdowns; his breakaway ability is a key weapon for the Roadrunners.
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Quarterback Owen McCown has thrown 1,310 yards with 13 TDs and 4 INTs this season; passing remains a less-emphasized part of UTSA’s identity.
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UTSA’s defense has struggled: allowing 30.9 points per game (4th-worst in AAC) and 397 total yards per game. Their rush defense allows 150.1 yards per game and the passing defense gives up 246.9 yards per game.
Strengths:
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Explosive run game; Henry is one of the top rushers in FBS
Weaknesses:
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Defensive consistency is lacking; vulnerable to both run and pass
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Offense beyond the run game is less reliable; may struggle in third-down conversions and against elite defenses
Standout Players & Key Notes
Tulane:
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Jake Retzlaff: his dual-threat ability both passing and rushing makes the offense hard to predict
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Wide receivers like Shazz Preston (314 yards) and Bryce Bohanon (256 yards) give receiving options for big plays
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Defense: They must control the line of scrimmage, especially against UTSA’s run-heavy attack
UTSA:
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Robert Henry Jr.: big playmaking threat; if he breaks free it can tilt the game
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Owen McCown: must manage the game, protect the ball, and complement the run game
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Defense: Needs improved tackling, fewer big plays allowed, especially vs. dual-threat QBs
Tulane vs UTSA Prediction Reasoning
This game tilts toward Tulane based on their more complete profile: balanced offense, strong defense, and success in close games. UTSA has the splash plays via Henry, but their defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent passing game give Tulane an edge.
Final Score Projection:
Tulane 34, UTSA 24
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Best Picks
- Tulane −4.5
- Over 54.5 total points
