Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Picks & Prediction Sunday, January 4, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/01/2026, 09:07 PM ET

The Dallas Cowboys head to East Rutherford to take on the New York Giants on Sunday, January 4, 2026, with kickoff set for 1:00 PM ET at MetLife Stadium. This NFC East matchup will be broadcast on FOX, and the forecast calls for cold conditions around 36°, which could influence tempo and ball security. If you’re looking for more angles across the board, don’t miss our free NFL picks.

Cowboys Trying to Finish Strong on the Road

Dallas comes in at 7-8-1 overall and 3-5 on the road, still showing flashes of offensive firepower despite an inconsistent December. The Cowboys snapped some negative momentum with a 30-23 road win at Washington last week, though they’ve dropped three of their last five games overall, including losses to the Chargers, Vikings, and Lions.

Statistically, the Cowboys’ offense has leaned heavily on Dak Prescott, who has thrown for 4,482 yards with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. The ground game has been productive behind Javonte Williams, who has rushed for 1,201 yards and 11 touchdowns, while George Pickens leads the receiving corps with 1,420 yards and 9 scores. Defensively, Jadeveon Clowney leads the team with 5.5 sacks, and Kenneth Murray Jr. tops the tackle chart with 80.

Dallas’ injury report features several key names. Jake Ferguson, T.J. Bass, Tyler Smith, Shavon Revel Jr., and DeMarvion Overshown are all listed as questionable, with multiple players dealing with lower-body injuries or concussions that could affect depth on both sides of the ball.

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Giants Playing Out the String but Showing Fight

New York enters at 3-13 overall and 2-5 at home, but they did show some life last week with a 34-10 road win over the Raiders. That result snapped a four-game losing streak, although the Giants have struggled to sustain success throughout the season.

Offensively, rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart has thrown for 2,042 yards with 13 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. The rushing attack has been led by Tyrone Tracy Jr., who has 637 rushing yards, while Wan’Dale Robinson has been the top receiving option with 1,014 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Brian Burns has been a standout with 16.5 sacks, and Bobby Okereke leads the team in tackles with 137.

The Giants’ injury report includes several contributors listed as questionable, including Wan’Dale Robinson, Jevon Holland, Abdul Carter, and Theo Johnson, while Anthony Johnson Jr. remains on the PUP list. Any limitations in the secondary or at receiver could be magnified against Dallas’ passing attack.

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Prediction

Against the spread, I’m backing Dallas -3.5. Even with their inconsistencies, the Cowboys have a massive edge at quarterback and far more offensive upside. With New York struggling to protect consistently and Dallas still motivated to close the season on a positive note, I’m comfortable laying the points.

For the total, I’m leaning Under 49.5. Cold weather, a Giants offense that can stall for long stretches, and the likelihood of Dallas leaning on the run if they get ahead all point toward a slightly lower-scoring game than the number suggests. Betting on sports and on the Giants is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Cowboys with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Cowboys vs Giants you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Cowboys 27, New York Giants 17