Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Picks and Predictions for Sunday, September 28, 2025

By: David Anicetti Updated 09/26/2025, 01:04 PM ET

The Washington Commanders visit the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Kickoff is at 1:00 PM ET on CBS. Washington is 2-1 after beating Las Vegas 41-24. Atlanta is 1-2 after a 30-0 loss at Carolina and looks to get back on track in the NFC South. Washington is favored by 2.5 with the total at 45.5. Join a passionate community of fans who rely on our data-driven free NFL picks to secure their victories.

Washington Commanders Preview

Quarterback Jayden Daniels has thrown for 433 yards with 3 touchdowns, but did not play last week due to an injury. Daniels is questionable for Sunday. Backup Marcus Mariota has 207 passing yards and a score. The run game is led by Jacory Croskey-Merritt with 125 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel and Zach Ertz have combined for 4 receiving touchdowns. Terry McLaurin, listed as questionable, has 149 yards in three games and remains the top deep threat.

On defense, Bobby Wagner leads with 32 tackles, and Dorance Armstrong has 3 sacks. The secondary is banged up, with Marshon Lattimore and Percy Butler both listed as questionable. Even with those concerns, Washington has pressured the quarterback well and forced teams into mistakes. If Daniels plays and does not commit turnovers, the Commanders should stay in control.

Atlanta Falcons Preview

Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has passed for 605 yards but only one touchdown against two interceptions. Penix Jr has relied on Bijan Robinson, who leads the team with 239 rushing yards and 164 receiving yards. Robinson remains the key piece, moving the chains as both a runner and a receiver. Drake London has 159 receiving yards, while Kyle Pitts has 135.

Subscribe Now

I authorize Picks And Parlays to send me promotional emails

I understand that I can unsubscribe at any time. I have read and accepted the Terms & Conditions and Privacy Policy. I consent that Picks And Parlays may use third-party services to process my data.

Terms & Conditions

The Falcons’ defense has struggled, giving up big plays. Linebacker Kaden Elliss leads with 18 tackles, and Zach Harrison has 1.5 sacks. With A.J. Terrell Jr. sidelined, Atlanta’s secondary has holes that Washington can target. To win, the Falcons must give the ball to Robinson early and find ways to limit big plays from Washington’s Samuel and McLaurin.

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

Washington has more playmakers on both sides of the line of scrimmage and a quarterback in Daniels who is a dual threat if able to play. Atlanta can compete if Robinson takes over, but the Commanders’ defense and balanced attack are likely to win out. Final Score Prediction: Washington Commanders win 28-23.