Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Picks & Prediction Sunday, January 4, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/01/2026, 09:13 PM ET

The Washington Commanders travel to Pennsylvania to face the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, January 4, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 4:25 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field. This NFC East matchup will air on CBS, and weather conditions in Philadelphia are expected to be cold, hovering around 35°, which could play a role in tempo and execution. For more insights across the board, be sure to check out our free NFL picks.

Commanders Looking for Positives in a Tough Road Spot

Washington enters this matchup at 4-12 overall and 2-6 on the road, closing out a difficult season. The Commanders have dropped four of their last five games, including back-to-back losses to Dallas and Philadelphia. Their lone win in that span came on the road against the Giants, but consistency has been hard to find week to week.

From a statistical standpoint, Marcus Mariota leads the offense with 1,695 passing yards, 10 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. The running game has been paced by Jacory Croskey-Merritt, who has rushed for 776 yards and 8 touchdowns, while Deebo Samuel leads the team in receiving with 707 yards and 5 scores. On defense, Von Miller tops the sack chart with 8, and Bobby Wagner anchors the unit with 157 total tackles including assists.

Washington’s injury report is significant, highlighted by Marcus Mariota listed as doubtful with a hand injury. Treylon Burks, Laremy Tunsil, and Nick Bellore are all questionable, while Tyler Biadasz remains on injured reserve. Health concerns at quarterback and along the offensive line are especially notable in this matchup.

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Eagles Aiming to Lock in a Strong Home Finish

Philadelphia comes in at 11-5 overall and 5-2 at home, firmly positioned as one of the NFC’s stronger teams. The Eagles have won three of their last four games, including recent victories over Buffalo and Washington, and have allowed just 12 points in their most recent outing against the Bills.

Offensively, Jalen Hurts has thrown for 3,224 yards with 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. The ground game features Saquon Barkley, who has accumulated 1,140 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns, while A.J. Brown leads the receiving corps with 1,003 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Jalyx Hunt leads the team with 6.5 sacks, and Zack Baun has posted 123 tackles on the season.

The Eagles’ injury report lists several key contributors as questionable, including Dallas Goedert, Lane Johnson, Marcus Epps, Jaelan Phillips, and Nakobe Dean. Even with some uncertainty, Philadelphia still appears to have a depth advantage on both sides of the ball.

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction

Against the spread, I’m backing Philadelphia -4.5. The Eagles have already beaten Washington once in this late-season stretch and remain far more reliable on both sides of the ball. With Washington dealing with quarterback uncertainty and multiple injuries, I trust Philadelphia to control this game at home.

For the total, I’m leaning Under 38.5. Cold weather, a Commanders offense that has struggled to generate points, and an Eagles team content to lean on the run and defense all point toward a lower-scoring divisional matchup. Betting on sports and on the Commanders is easy, but even easier if you use the best sportsbooks. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Eagles with the Novig promo code. Make sure when you place your bet on Eagles vs Commanders you are using the BetMGM bonus code.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles 23, Washington Commanders 13