Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Predictions for Saturday February 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/28/2026, 05:30 AM ET

The Chicago Blackhawks head to Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday, February 28, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 6:00 PM with coverage available on ESPN+. This Central Division matchup features a rebuilding Chicago squad facing one of the top teams in the conference. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insight and expert selections.

Blackhawks Facing Tough Road Challenge

Chicago enters this contest with a 22-27-9 overall record and a 10-13-4 mark on the road. The Blackhawks have struggled recently, recently losing to Nashville 4-2, Columbus 4-0, and Pittsburgh 6-2. They did manage a 6-3 win over San Jose, but consistency has been difficult to find.

The Blackhawks are averaging 2.65 goals per game while allowing 3.16 goals against. They generate 24.8 shots per contest and give up 29.5 shots, often spending extended time in their defensive zone. On special teams, Chicago has scored 31 power play goals at a 19.1% rate, while their penalty kill has been strong at 85.7%, allowing just 25 power play goals.

One area that stands out for Chicago is their penalty kill efficiency. Despite giving up over three goals per game overall, their ability to neutralize opposing power plays keeps them competitive. However, their negative shot differential could be problematic against a high-powered offense like Colorado’s.

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Avalanche Dominant at Home

Colorado comes into this matchup with an impressive 38-10-9 overall record and a dominant 21-4-4 mark at home. The Avalanche recently lost to Minnesota 5-2 but have wins over Utah 4-2, San Jose 4-2, Detroit 5-0, and a 4-3 overtime victory over Winnipeg in recent games.

The Avalanche are averaging 3.84 goals per game while allowing just 2.41 goals against. They generate a league-high 34.0 shots per contest and limit opponents to 26.7 shots. While their power play sits at 15.4% with 28 goals, their penalty kill is solid at 84.5%.

What truly separates Colorado is their offensive depth and shot volume. Averaging nearly four goals per game and leading in shots, they apply constant pressure. Combined with allowing only 2.41 goals per contest, Colorado’s balance between offense and defense makes them one of the most complete teams in the league.

Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche Pick

Blackhawks vs Avalanche Pick

  • Pick: Colorado Avalanche Puck Line

Colorado’s dominant home record and offensive production make them the clear side in this matchup. Chicago’s struggles on the road and negative shot differential set up well for the Avalanche to control possession and generate sustained pressure. With Colorado averaging 3.84 goals per game and allowing just 2.41, the puck line presents solid value.

Blackhawks vs Avalanche Total Pick

  • Pick: Over if total is set at 6.5

I expect Colorado to contribute heavily to the scoring in this game. The Avalanche average nearly four goals per contest, and Chicago allows over three goals per game. Even if the Blackhawks chip in a goal or two, Colorado’s offensive pace should push this total toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Avalanche 5, Blackhawks 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.

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