Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/24/2026, 12:25 AM ET

The Colorado Avalanche travel to PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, to take on the Pittsburgh Penguins on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Colorado enters this matchup as a -162 favorite on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh comes in at +136. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the puck line showing Colorado -1.5 (+164) and Pittsburgh +1.5 (-198). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insights.

Avalanche Bringing Elite Form on the Road

Colorado comes into this game with an outstanding 46-13-10 record overall and a dominant 23-7-5 record on the road. The Avalanche have been one of the most complete teams in the league this season, combining elite offense with strong defensive play. Over their last five games, Colorado has recently won over Washington, recently won over Chicago, recently lost to Dallas, recently lost to Pittsburgh, and recently lost to Winnipeg. Despite a small dip in form, their overall body of work still stands out.

Statistically, Colorado is one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 3.68 goals per game while allowing just 2.45 goals against per contest. They generate an impressive 33.8 shots per game and allow only 26.1 shots against per game, showcasing their ability to control play on both ends of the ice. Their penalty kill is strong at 82.8%, though their power play has been less efficient with 37 goals and a 16.5% conversion rate.

One key strength for Colorado is their ability to dominate possession and generate high shot volume. Averaging nearly 34 shots per game gives them a constant offensive presence, and their defensive structure limits opponents’ chances. Even when they hit a rough patch, their underlying numbers remain strong, which suggests they are still one of the most dangerous teams in this matchup.

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Penguins Looking to Defend Home Ice

Pittsburgh enters this contest with a 35-19-16 record overall and a solid 17-10-8 mark at home. The Penguins have been competitive all season and have shown they can beat strong teams, including Colorado in a recent meeting. Over their last five games, Pittsburgh has recently lost to Carolina, recently won over Winnipeg, recently lost to Carolina, recently won over Colorado, and recently won over Utah. That stretch shows a team capable of strong performances but also dealing with some inconsistency.

From a statistical standpoint, Pittsburgh averages 3.41 goals per game while allowing 2.99 goals against per contest. They generate 29.0 shots per game and allow 27.4 shots against per game, indicating a relatively balanced approach. Their power play has been a major strength with 49 goals and a 24.6% success rate, while their penalty kill is also solid at 83.2%.

A key aspect for Pittsburgh is their ability to capitalize on special teams opportunities. Their power play efficiency gives them an edge in tight games, especially against a Colorado team that has struggled on the power play this season. If Pittsburgh can draw penalties and convert, they will have a strong chance to keep this game close or even pull off another win.

Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins pick

Pick: Colorado Avalanche -162 (Moneyline)

While Pittsburgh has shown they can compete with Colorado, the Avalanche are simply the more complete team. Their ability to control possession, generate high shot volume, and limit scoring chances gives them a clear edge. Even with Pittsburgh’s strong power play, Colorado’s overall consistency and road dominance make them the better side in this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins total pick

Pick: Over 6.5

I like the over in this game because both teams have strong offensive capabilities. Colorado generates a high number of shots and scoring chances, while Pittsburgh has an efficient power play that can capitalize on opportunities. With both teams capable of putting up goals, this matchup has the potential to turn into a higher-scoring game.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado Avalanche 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.