Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Predictions for Wednesday March 18 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/18/2026, 01:25 AM ET

The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche will meet on Wednesday, March 18, 2026, at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, with puck drop scheduled for 9:30 PM on TNT and HBO Max. Colorado enters as a -155 favorite on the moneyline, while Dallas is listed at +130. The total for this matchup is set at 6.5 goals, with the Avalanche favored on the puck line at -1.5 (+170). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insights.

Stars Bring Strong Road Presence

Dallas enters this matchup with a 42-15-10 record and has been excellent on the road with a 20-7-6 mark. In their last five games, they have recently won over the Detroit Red Wings, Edmonton Oilers, Vegas Golden Knights, and Chicago Blackhawks, while suffering a loss to Utah.

The Stars are averaging 3.45 goals per game while allowing just 2.69, and they generate 25.9 shots per game. Their power play has been elite, converting at 29.6%, and they also maintain a solid penalty kill at 80.9%.

One of Dallas’ biggest strengths is their efficiency on special teams. Their power play is one of the most dangerous units, and their ability to capitalize on opportunities gives them a major advantage in tight contests.

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Avalanche Thrive with Offensive Firepower

Colorado comes into this game at 44-13-9 and has been dominant at home with a 23-6-4 record. They have gone 2-3 in their last five games, with wins over the Seattle Kraken and Minnesota Wild, while losses came against the Pittsburgh Penguins, Winnipeg Jets, and Edmonton Oilers.

The Avalanche are averaging 3.73 goals per game while allowing just 2.50, and they generate an impressive 33.7 shots per game. They also hold opponents to 26.4 shots per game, showing a strong balance between offense and defense.

Colorado’s biggest strength is their offensive pressure and shot volume. They consistently create scoring chances and can overwhelm opponents with their pace, especially on home ice.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Pick

Colorado Avalanche Moneyline

Colorado’s home dominance and ability to generate consistent offensive pressure give them the edge in this matchup. While Dallas is a strong team, the Avalanche’s pace and scoring ability at home should allow them to come out on top in what should be a competitive game.

Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Total Pick

Over 6.5

I like the over in this matchup because both teams are capable of scoring at a high level. With Dallas’ strong power play and Colorado’s shot volume, this game should feature plenty of scoring opportunities on both sides.

Final Score Prediction: Colorado 4, Dallas 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Tuesday.