Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Thursday March 12 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/12/2026, 01:45 AM ET

The Edmonton Oilers travel to face the Dallas Stars on Thursday, March 12, 2026, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with television coverage on ESPN+/Hulu. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily predictions and betting insights.

Oilers Bring High-Scoring Attack into Dallas

The Edmonton Oilers enter this matchup with a 32-25-8 overall record and a 16-14-4 record on the road this season. Edmonton has been involved in several high-scoring games recently, having recently won over Vegas 4-2, Ottawa 5-4 in overtime, and Los Angeles 8-1 while also recently losing to Carolina 6-3 and San Jose 5-4.

The Oilers average 3.55 goals per game while allowing 3.36 goals per game this season. Edmonton generates around 29.7 shots per game while allowing 27.1 shots against. Their special teams have been strong offensively with a 32.8% power play while the penalty kill sits at 77.4%.

A major strength for Edmonton has been their offensive production and ability to create scoring chances. With nearly 30 shots per game and one of the most efficient power plays in the league, the Oilers can put pressure on opposing defenses throughout the game.

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Stars Dominant at Home This Season

The Dallas Stars come into this matchup with a 40-14-10 record overall and a strong 20-7-4 record on home ice. Dallas has been playing well recently, recently winning over Vegas 2-1, Chicago 4-3 in overtime, Calgary 6-1, and Vancouver 6-1 while also recently losing to Colorado 5-4 in a shootout.

Dallas averages 3.43 goals per game while allowing 2.68 goals against per contest. The Stars produce about 26.0 shots per game and allow 26.4 shots against. Their power play operates at 29.9% while their penalty kill sits at 80.2%.

One of the key elements for Dallas this season has been their defensive efficiency. Allowing just 2.68 goals per game while maintaining strong special teams has helped them maintain one of the better records in the league.

Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Pick

Stars Moneyline

Dallas has been extremely strong at home this season and enters the matchup with the better overall record. While Edmonton has an explosive offense, the Stars’ ability to limit goals against and control the pace at home gives them the edge in this matchup.

Edmonton Oilers vs Dallas Stars Total Pick

Take the Over if the total is set at 6.5

I expect a game with scoring opportunities on both sides. Edmonton averages over three and a half goals per game and plays in several high-scoring contests, while Dallas also averages over three goals per game offensively. With both teams capable of producing offense, I expect the total to push toward the over.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, Edmonton Oilers 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Wednesday.