Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions for Monday January 19 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 01/19/2026, 01:00 AM ET

The Minnesota Wild travel to Toronto to take on the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, January 19, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 7:30 PM EST. This matchup will be televised on ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network North, and FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin. Toronto enters as the home favorite with the Maple Leafs -122 on the moneyline, while the Wild sit at +102. The total is set at 5.5 goals with the Over priced at -125 and the Under at +105, while the puck line lists Maple Leafs -1.5 (+195) and Wild +1.5 (-238). Make sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily NHL betting coverage.

Minnesota Wild: Balanced Play Traveling Well

Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 27-13-9 overall record and has been reliable away from home with a 14-7-3 road mark. Over their last five games, the Wild have recently won over the Sabres in overtime and the Kraken in overtime, while also recently losing to the Jets, Devils, and Islanders. Those results show a team that consistently keeps games close, even when the results don’t always break their way.

From a statistical standpoint, the Wild are averaging 3.10 goals per game while allowing 2.80 goals against, and they are generating 28.8 shots per game while giving up 29.6 shots per game. Their special teams have been productive, with 36 power play goals and a 22.4% power play conversion rate, while the penalty kill sits at 76.9%.

One aspect that stands out for Minnesota is their ability to stay composed in tight games. Their willingness to grind through low-margin situations and push games into overtime on the road has kept them competitive against strong home teams.

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Toronto Maple Leafs: Strong at Home, High-Event Profile

Toronto enters this contest with a 24-16-8 overall record and has been excellent on home ice with a 16-5-5 home record. In their last five games, the Maple Leafs have recently won over the Jets, Avalanche, and Canucks, while also recently losing to the Golden Knights and Mammoth in high-scoring overtime games. That stretch highlights a team that plays fast and doesn’t shy away from offensive exchanges.

Statistically, Toronto is averaging 3.38 goals per game while allowing 3.27 goals against, and they are putting up 27 shots per game while surrendering 31.4 shots per game. Their power play has produced 20 goals with a 16.9% success rate, while the penalty kill has been a strength at 84.3%.

Toronto’s biggest edge comes from their home-ice confidence. Even when they give up chances, they tend to stay aggressive offensively, which can overwhelm visiting teams if the game opens up early.

Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -122 (Moneyline)

I’m backing Toronto on the moneyline because of how consistently they’ve played at home and their ability to generate offense in multiple ways. Minnesota keeps games close, but Toronto’s scoring depth and home-ice comfort give them the edge in a matchup that could swing on one key moment.

Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs Total Pick

Pick: Over 5.5

I’m taking the Over in this spot because Toronto games tend to turn into high-event matchups, and Minnesota has shown they can score on the road while still giving up opportunities. With both teams averaging over three goals per game, the number feels reachable.

Final Score Prediction: Maple Leafs 4, Wild 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

How To Bet This Matchup

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