New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction for Tuesday March 24 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/24/2026, 12:35 AM ET

The New Jersey Devils travel to the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, to face the Dallas Stars on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast on ESPN+. Dallas enters this matchup as a -175 favorite on the moneyline, while New Jersey comes in at +145. The total is set at 5.5 goals, with the puck line showing New Jersey +1.5 (-170) and Dallas -1.5 (+142). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more daily betting insights.

Devils Trying to Stay Competitive on the Road

New Jersey enters this matchup with a 35-32-2 overall record and a 17-17-0 record on the road. The Devils have been a .500 team away from home and have shown flashes of strong play, though consistency has been an issue. Over their last five games, New Jersey has recently lost to Washington, recently won over the New York Rangers, recently won over Boston, recently won over Los Angeles, and recently lost to Calgary. That stretch shows a team capable of winning against quality opponents but also prone to slipping up.

From a statistical standpoint, New Jersey averages 2.65 goals per game while allowing 3.03 goals against per contest. They generate 30.0 shots per game and allow 27.5 shots against per game, indicating they can control possession at times. Their power play has been effective with 40 goals and a 22.6% conversion rate, while their penalty kill sits at 80.1%. However, their negative goal differential suggests they have struggled to convert opportunities into consistent wins.

One key concern for New Jersey is their defensive play. Allowing over three goals per game puts pressure on an offense that has not been particularly explosive. While they can generate shots, their finishing ability has been inconsistent, and their defensive lapses often negate their offensive efforts. If they cannot tighten up defensively, they may struggle against a strong Dallas team.

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Stars Dominant at Home with Balanced Attack

Dallas comes into this game with a 43-16-11 overall record and a strong 22-9-4 record at home. The Stars have been one of the more consistent teams in the league and have used their balanced approach to maintain success throughout the season. Over their last five games, Dallas has recently lost to Vegas, recently lost to Minnesota, recently won over Colorado, recently lost to Utah, and recently won over Detroit. While that stretch includes some losses, their overall body of work remains impressive.

Statistically, Dallas averages 3.36 goals per game while allowing 2.66 goals against per contest. They generate 25.7 shots per game and allow 26.6 shots against per game, showing a controlled style of play. Their power play has been a major strength with 62 goals and an outstanding 29.1% conversion rate, while their penalty kill sits at 80.7%. That special teams advantage gives them a significant edge in most matchups.

A key strength for Dallas is their efficiency, particularly on the power play. Converting at nearly 30% is a huge advantage, especially against a team that can be inconsistent defensively. Combined with their strong home record and balanced scoring, the Stars are well-positioned to control this game.

New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars pick

Pick: Dallas Stars -175 (Moneyline)

Dallas has been the more consistent and complete team this season, particularly at home. Their offensive efficiency and strong special teams give them a clear advantage over a New Jersey team that has struggled defensively. While the Devils can be competitive, the Stars’ ability to capitalize on opportunities should allow them to come out on top.

New Jersey Devils vs Dallas Stars total pick

Pick: Over 5.5

I like the over in this game because both teams have shown the ability to score, and New Jersey’s defensive struggles could open the door for Dallas to put up multiple goals. At the same time, the Devils generate a high number of shots and can contribute offensively. This combination points toward a game that exceeds the total.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, New Jersey Devils 2

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.