Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Tuesday, December 2, 2025
The Ottawa Senators travel to Bell Centre on Tuesday night for an Atlantic Division battle with the Montreal Canadiens, and both teams enter this matchup looking to bounce back from blowout losses. With the standings tightening and both clubs needing points, this matchup features strong scoring talent, shaky defenses, and two goaltending groups under pressure to stabilize. For more breakdowns across every NHL matchup, check out our latest free NHL Picks before puck drop.
Ottawa Senators – Searching for Answers on a Tough Road Trip
Ottawa enters at 12-9-4, including 6-6-2 on the road, but the results lately tell a different story. The Senators have dropped four of their last five, most recently falling 6–1 to Dallas, a game where the defense simply could not handle the Stars’ pressure. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on the Senators.
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Ottawa’s last five:
- L 6–1 @ DAL
- L 4–3 @ STL
- W 4–3 SO @ VGK
- L 2–1 @ LA
- W 3–2 @ SJ
The Senators continue to be competitive, but their inability to close out games — especially on this long road swing — has put them in dangerous territory.
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Offense and Key Players
Ottawa still has the firepower to score with anyone:
- Tim Stützle: 23 points
- Shane Pinto: 12 goals
- Jake Sanderson: 15 assists
They average 3.04 goals per game, but their shot volume (26 per game) is low, forcing them to rely on efficiency rather than pressure.
Goaltending Concerns
Linus Ullmark’s .874 save percentage is one of the more concerning marks among NHL starters this season, especially going against Montreal’s fast-paced attack.
Injury Note
- Thomas Chabot (D) remains out until at least December 4 His absence continues to impact Ottawa’s breakout and puck movement.
Montreal Canadiens – Explosive but Inconsistent at Home
Montreal comes in at 13-8-3 and has been strong at home (6-5-1), despite some recent defensive breakdowns. Their 7–2 loss at Colorado was ugly, but their three-game winning streak before that showed how dangerous this club can be. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Canadiens with the Onyx Odds promo code.
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Montreal’s last five:
- L 7–2 @ COL
- W 4–1 @ VGK
- W 4–3 @ UTA
- W 5–2 vs TOR
- L 8–4 vs WSH
Win or lose, Montreal games usually involve goals — lots of them.
Offensive Leaders
- Nick Suzuki: 28 points (playmaking at an elite level)
- Cole Caufield: 14 goals (constant shooting threat)
Montreal scores 3.42 goals per game, one of the better marks in the league.
Goaltending Outlook
Jakub Dobes has been the steadier option:
- 8–3–2, .888 SV%
He gives Montreal a slight edge in net.
Injury Note
- Jayden Struble (D) day-to-day, expected available
Montreal enters healthier than Ottawa overall.
Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens – Tactical Matchup
This matchup sets up as a contrast of styles:
Why the Matchup Favors Montreal
- Montreal’s wings (Caufield, Harvey-Pinard) can exploit Ottawa’s weakened blue line
- Ottawa’s goaltending is struggling, especially on the road trip
- Montreal’s special teams are slightly better (23.5% PP, 76.5% PK)
- Canadiens push the pace more effectively than Ottawa
Why Ottawa Still Has a Chance
- Stützle and Pinto can break open games with minimal chances
- Montreal’s defense allows high-danger chances frequently
- If Ullmark has one of his “steal a game” nights, Ottawa can shock them
Betting Trends and Total Outlook
Moneyline
- Montreal -115
- Ottawa -112
Practically a pick’em, but Montreal holds the home-ice edge.
Puck Line
- Ottawa -1.5 (+225)
- Montreal +1.5 (-278)
Total Goals
- O 6.5 (+110)
- U 6.5 (-130)
With both teams giving up goals in bunches lately, the over remains a live option.
Trend Snapshot
- Montreal has scored 4+ goals in 4 of their last 5 wins
- Ottawa has allowed 4+ goals in 3 straight losses
- Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in goals allowed
- Montreal home games lean heavily toward high scoring
Canadiens vs Senators Picks and Prediction
Why I'm Betting This Way
I’m backing the Montreal Canadiens on the moneyline. Even though they were blown out by Colorado, Montreal has been the more consistent team at home, they have the deeper scoring options, and their special teams have been slightly more reliable. Ottawa’s defense without Chabot continues to struggle, and Ullmark’s sub-.880 save percentage on this road stretch is a concern I can’t overlook.
I’m also leaning toward the Over 6.5 goals. Both teams are giving up goals at an alarming rate, and Montreal’s offense tends to bounce back immediately after poor outings. With both goaltending groups struggling and both offenses capable of scoring quickly, this game sets up as a high-event matchup. Getting the most out of your bets on Senators vs Canadiens can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
My Final Picks:
- Montreal Canadiens ML (-115)
- Over 6.5 Goals (+110)
Projected Final Score:
Canadiens 4 – Senators 3
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