Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks and Predictions for Monday March 2 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/02/2026, 12:30 AM ET

The Philadelphia Flyers head north to face the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday, March 2, 2026 at 7:30 PM at Scotiabank Arena. The game will air on ESPN+. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Don’t forget to check out our free NHL picks for additional matchups.

Flyers Gaining Momentum

Philadelphia enters at 27-21-11 overall and 13-12-4 on the road. They recently won over Boston 3-1 and the Rangers 3-2 in overtime, but lost to Washington 3-1 and Ottawa 2-1 in overtime. They also defeated Washington 4-2. The Flyers have shown resilience in tight games.

The Flyers are averaging 2.86 goals per game while allowing 3.14 goals against. They produce 25.6 shots per game and allow 25.7 shots against. Their power play has generated 27 goals with a 16.1% conversion rate. They have allowed 36 power play goals and hold a 79.5% penalty kill.

One strength for Philadelphia has been their opportunistic scoring, including five short handed goals and zero short handed goals allowed. If they can clean up defensive zone coverage and limit penalties after accumulating 582 penalty minutes, they can compete in this one.

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Maple Leafs Searching for Stability

Toronto sits at 27-24-9 overall and 16-10-6 at home. Recently they lost to Ottawa 5-2, Florida 5-1, and Tampa Bay 4-2 but earned wins over Edmonton 5-2 and Calgary 4-2. Toronto has struggled defensively during their recent slide.

The Maple Leafs average 3.22 goals per game but allow 3.42 goals per contest. They generate 27.5 shots per game while allowing 31.8 shots against. Their power play has produced 27 goals at a 19.6% rate, and they have allowed 24 power play goals with a strong 83.8% penalty kill.

Toronto’s offense can explode, but allowing nearly 32 shots per game puts pressure on their defense. If they can improve puck possession and reduce defensive breakdowns, they can leverage their higher scoring average.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

Pick: Philadelphia Flyers Moneyline

Philadelphia has been playing better hockey over their last five games and comes in with momentum. Toronto’s recent defensive struggles and shot differential give the Flyers value in this spot.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Total Pick

Pick: Over (if total is set at 6.5)

I expect goals in this one. Toronto is averaging 3.22 goals per game but giving up 3.42, and Philadelphia allows over three goals per game as well. With both teams capable of scoring and struggling defensively, the over looks attractive.

Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Flyers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.