Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 3 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/03/2026, 12:00 AM ET

The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to face the Boston Bruins on Tuesday, March 3, 2026, with puck drop set for 7:00 PM at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The game will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our latest free NHL picks for more expert analysis on tonight’s slate.

Pittsburgh Aiming to Stay Hot on the Road

The Penguins enter this matchup at 31-15-13 overall and 16-7-6 on the road. They have been playing strong hockey lately, recently winning over Vegas 5-0 and New Jersey 4-1, while also earning a 5-2 win at Buffalo. They narrowly lost to the Rangers 3-2 in a shootout and fell 5-4 in overtime at the Islanders. Pittsburgh has been competitive nearly every night and continues to pick up valuable points.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.40 goals per game while allowing just 2.85 goals against per contest. They generate 29.3 shots per game and limit opponents to 27.3 shots. Their special teams have been a strength, scoring 40 power play goals with an impressive 26.1% success rate.

One area that stands out is their penalty kill, operating at 84.1%, while allowing just 27 power play goals all season. They have also not surrendered a single shorthanded goal. Pittsburgh’s balanced scoring and disciplined defensive play make them dangerous, especially away from home.

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Bruins Lean on Home Ice Advantage

Boston comes into this contest at 33-21-5 overall and a strong 22-8-1 at home. Recently, the Bruins won over Columbus 4-2 and Philadelphia 6-3 but dropped games to the Flyers, Panthers, and Lightning, with two of those losses coming in shootouts. Despite some inconsistency, they remain tough to beat at TD Garden.

The Bruins are scoring 3.36 goals per game while allowing 3.12 goals against. They average 27.1 shots per game but give up 30.0 shots per contest, which has occasionally put pressure on their defense. Boston’s power play has been effective, producing 45 goals at a 26.0% clip.

However, the penalty kill has struggled at 76.6%, allowing 50 power play goals. With 780 penalty minutes on the season, discipline has been an issue. If Boston can stay out of the box, they are far more effective, especially on home ice.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Pick

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Pick

  • Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline

Pittsburgh has been more consistent defensively and owns the better penalty kill. With Boston’s struggles killing penalties and tendency to take penalties, the Penguins’ efficient power play could be the difference. The road record for Pittsburgh is strong, and they are coming off a dominant win. I like the Penguins to grab two points here.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins Total Pick

  • Pick: Over (if total is set at 6 or 6.5)

Both teams average well over three goals per game, and Boston’s defensive metrics at home leave room for scoring. With two potent power plays on the ice and recent games trending toward higher totals, I see this turning into an offensive battle. I’m expecting scoring chances on both ends.

Final Score Prediction: Penguins 4, Bruins 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.

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