Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Pick & Prediction for Sunday December 7 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/07/2025, 12:40 AM ET

Penguins vs Stars Game Overview

In one of the marquee matchups of the night, the Pittsburgh Penguins visit the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center. Both clubs sit firmly in the upper tier of their conferences and bring elite star power on each side. If you’re eyeing this game for your main wager or as an anchor leg in a parlay, don’t forget to browse the Free NHL Picks page for additional trends, model edges, and expert breakdowns. Pittsburgh comes in at 14-7-5 with an 8-3-3 road record, while Dallas is an impressive 19-5-5, including 9-4-1 at home.

Offensive Matchup: Crosby vs Robertson & Rantanen

Pittsburgh is still driven by future Hall of Famer Sidney Crosby, who leads the team with 29 points (18 goals, 11 assists). His finishing combined with Evgeni Malkin’s playmaking (21 assists) powers an offense that averages 3.19 goals per game on 27.2 shots. The real dagger is the power play, operating at a lethal 34.4%, which can flip a game with just a couple of opportunities.

Dallas counters with a dynamic duo of Mikko Rantanen (38 points, 25 assists) and Jason Robertson (18 goals, six on the power play). The Stars score 3.43 goals per game and have their own devastating power play at 31.5%, meaning special teams could be the deciding factor in a game that features two of the better man-advantage units in the league.

Goaltending & Defensive Edge

While both teams can fill the net, the defensive and goaltending edge leans slightly toward Dallas. Jake Oettinger (13-4-2, 2.60 GAA, .908 SV%) gives the Stars a true workhorse in net, with Casey DeSmith (2.16 GAA, .921 SV%) providing strong backup support. The Stars allow 2.57 goals per game, a top-tier defensive number.

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Pittsburgh’s Tristan Jarry has been quietly excellent as well (2.61 GAA, .913 SV%), and the Penguins allow 2.73 goals per game. That’s still good, but the slight difference, combined with Dallas’ home-ice advantage and deeper defensive core, nudges the overall matchup in favor of the Stars.

Pittsburgh has been hot lately, handling tough road environments with poise, while Dallas has consistently taken care of business at home. With both teams owning elite power plays, discipline will matter; whichever side stays out of the box likely tilts the game in their favor. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on the Penguins. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Stars with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on Penguins vs Stars can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Best Pick

Dallas Stars moneyline. For bettors looking to squeeze extra value, a Stars and over parlay (if the total is in the 6 range) is a logical combo given the offensive talent and power-play efficiency on both benches.

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