San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Friday, December 5, 2025

By: Kim Smith Published 12/05/2025, 01:40 AM ET

The San Jose Sharks head into Dallas trying to snap a road slide, but they’ll face one of the league’s strongest and most stable contenders in the Stars. San Jose comes in at 13–12–3 overall and just 4–7–0 on the road, while Dallas continues to dominate with an 18–5–5 record and an impressive 8–4–1 mark at American Airlines Center. The odds strongly reflect the gap between these clubs, with the Stars listed as heavy favorites at -290 on the moneyline. Be ready for all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.

Sharks Preview

San Jose’s trouble begins in its defensive zone, where the Sharks allow 3.32 goals per game and give up nearly 32 shots per night, a recipe that has repeatedly hurt them on the road. Rookie sensation Macklin Celebrini continues to shine—now up to 40 points (14G, 26A)—but even elite production from their young star hasn’t prevented recent lopsided outcomes. The Sharks were hammered 7–1 by Washington on Wednesday and have surrendered at least four goals in three of their last five outings. Between the pipes, Yaroslav Askarov (10–7–1, 3.15 GAA, .905 SV%) has shown flashes of brilliance but is constantly under siege behind San Jose’s porous defensive structure.

Stars Preview

Dallas enters on much firmer ground, scoring 3.43 goals per game while allowing just 2.57, one of the strongest differentials in the NHL. Jason Robertson leads the offense with 36 points (17G, 19A), while Mikko Rantanen continues to be an elite playmaker with 23 assists. In goal, Jake Oettinger has re-established his form with a 12–4–2 record, 2.60 GAA, and .906 save percentage, and backup Casey DeSmith has been excellent as well. The Stars’ special teams also give them a sizable edge—their 31.5% power play is lethal and perfectly positioned to exploit a San Jose team that struggles whenever games become special-teams battles.

Recent form suggests two teams trending in opposite directions. While San Jose has dropped three of its last five and continues to leak goals, Dallas is coming off a strong 3–0 shutout of the Devils and has won four of its last five games. The Stars’ blend of structured defense, elite finishing talent, and reliable goaltending makes them one of the toughest home opponents in the league, and they hold every statistical advantage entering this matchup.

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Given the discrepancy in scoring depth, defensive consistency, and recent momentum, Dallas is rightfully a heavy favorite. San Jose’s offense simply doesn’t generate enough sustained pressure to threaten the Stars, particularly on the road, and their defensive vulnerabilities are the exact areas Dallas punishes most effectively. The best sportsbooks are the best way to go when you are betting on the Stars. Make sure you know about how the fans are looking on prediction markets for the Sharks with the Onyx Odds promo code. Getting the most out of your bets on Stars vs Sharks can be done by using the Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

Prediction: Dallas Stars 4, San Jose Sharks 2