Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions for Tuesday March 10 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/10/2026, 12:40 AM ET

The Vegas Golden Knights travel to face the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas on Tuesday, March 10, 2026. The game is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET and will be televised on ESPN+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis and daily selections from the NHL.

Golden Knights Try to Regain Momentum

The Vegas Golden Knights enter this matchup with a 29-21-14 overall record and a 15-11-7 record on the road this season. Vegas has struggled recently as they recently lost to Minnesota 4-2, recently won over Detroit 4-3 in overtime, recently lost to Buffalo 3-2, recently lost to Pittsburgh 5-0, and recently lost to Washington 3-2.

Vegas has been productive offensively this season, averaging 3.27 goals per game while allowing 3.10 goals against per contest. The Golden Knights generate 28.6 shots per game while allowing 24.9 shots against, indicating a team that typically controls possession and creates opportunities in the offensive zone.

Special teams have been a bright spot for Vegas. The Golden Knights have scored 46 power play goals with an impressive 26.1% success rate. Their penalty kill has also been solid at 81.3%, while they have produced 2 short-handed goals this season and have not allowed any short-handed goals against.

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Stars Continue Dominant Season at Home

Dallas enters this matchup with a strong 39-14-10 overall record and a 19-7-4 record at home this season. The Stars have been playing well recently as they recently won over Chicago 4-3 in overtime, recently lost to Colorado 5-4 in a shootout, recently won over Calgary 6-1, recently won over Vancouver 6-1, and recently won over Nashville 3-2 in overtime.

Dallas has been one of the most efficient teams in the league this season, averaging 3.42 goals per game while allowing just 2.68 goals against per contest. The Stars generate 25.9 shots per game while allowing 26.5 shots against, showing their ability to capitalize on scoring chances while maintaining strong defensive structure.

Special teams have also been excellent for Dallas. The Stars have scored 55 power play goals with a strong 29.9% conversion rate, while their penalty kill sits at 80.1%. Dallas has also produced 3 short-handed goals this season and has not allowed any short-handed goals against.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Pick

Golden Knights vs Stars Pick

Dallas Stars Moneyline

Dallas has been one of the most consistent teams in the league and has been particularly strong at home with a 19-7-4 record. Vegas enters this matchup struggling in recent games and has had difficulty closing out tight contests. With Dallas’ efficient offense and strong special teams, the Stars should have the edge in this matchup.

Golden Knights vs Stars Total Pick

Take the Over if the total is set at 6

I expect scoring opportunities on both sides in this matchup. Vegas averages over three goals per game and Dallas has one of the best power plays in the league. With both teams capable of producing offensively and recent games trending toward higher scoring, the over appears to be the best play.

Final Score Prediction: Stars 4, Golden Knights 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Monday.