Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Picks and Predictions for Saturday February 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/28/2026, 05:20 AM ET

The Washington Capitals travel to the Bell Centre to face the Montreal Canadiens on Saturday, February 28, 2026. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 PM with coverage available on ESPN+. This Eastern Conference matchup features two teams pushing for position as the playoff race tightens. At the time of this writing, the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for additional expert selections and betting insight.

Capitals Looking to Continue Momentum

Washington enters this contest with a 30-23-7 overall record and a 12-13-4 mark on the road. The Capitals have been playing solid hockey recently, recently winning over Philadelphia 3-1, Nashville 4-2, the Islanders 4-1, and Carolina 4-3 in overtime. Their only recent setback came in a 4-2 loss at Philadelphia.

On the season, Washington is averaging 3.18 goals per game while allowing 2.88 goals against. They generate 29.2 shots per contest and give up 28.2 shots. The Capitals have scored 29 power play goals at a 16.3% rate, while their penalty kill sits at 79.2% after allowing 40 power play goals.

One notable strength for Washington is their overall defensive balance. Allowing under three goals per game while maintaining a positive shot differential gives them stability. If they can improve their power play efficiency, they have the tools to control the tempo in tight matchups.

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Canadiens Strong at Home

Montreal comes into this game with a 32-17-9 overall record and a 16-11-2 mark at home. The Canadiens recently dropped a 4-3 overtime game to the Islanders but have secured wins over Winnipeg 5-1, Buffalo 4-2, and Colorado 7-3. They also lost a 4-3 overtime contest to Minnesota in recent action.

Montreal is averaging 3.46 goals per game while allowing 3.21 goals against. They produce 26.2 shots per contest and allow 27.3 shots. The Canadiens have tallied 39 power play goals at a strong 23.9% clip, though their penalty kill sits at 76.9%.

What stands out for Montreal is their offensive upside. Averaging nearly 3.5 goals per game, they have demonstrated the ability to score in bunches. While their defensive numbers are not elite, their power play production gives them a major weapon, particularly on home ice.

Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens Pick

Capitals vs Canadiens Pick

Pick: Montreal Canadiens Moneyline

Montreal’s home record and offensive production give them the edge in this matchup. While Washington has played well recently, the Canadiens’ power play efficiency and ability to generate scoring runs make them the stronger side at home.

Capitals vs Canadiens Total Pick

Pick: Over if total is set at 6.5

I expect a higher-scoring affair. Montreal averages 3.46 goals per game and allows over three, while Washington is producing over three goals per contest as well. With both teams capable on the power play and neither penalty kill dominant, this game sets up well for the over.

Final Score Prediction: Canadiens 4, Capitals 3

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.