Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche Picks and Prediction for Saturday March 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 03/28/2026, 01:35 AM ET

The Winnipeg Jets travel to Ball Arena to take on the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday, March 28, 2026, with puck drop scheduled for 7:00 PM on ESPN+. Colorado enters this matchup as a -258 favorite on the moneyline, while Winnipeg comes in at +210. The total is set at 6.5 goals, with the puck line showing Winnipeg +1.5 (-115) and Colorado -1.5 (-105). Be sure to check out our free NHL picks for more expert analysis and daily betting insights.

Winnipeg Jets Facing Road Challenges

The Winnipeg Jets enter this matchup with a 30-30-12 record, including a 12-16-6 mark on the road this season. Winnipeg has gone 2-3 in their last five games, with recent wins over the Vegas Golden Knights and New York Rangers, while suffering losses to the Colorado Avalanche, Pittsburgh Penguins, and Boston Bruins. This recent stretch highlights inconsistency, particularly against stronger competition.

Offensively, the Jets are averaging 2.82 goals per game while allowing 3.04 goals against, which reflects a team that has struggled to generate consistent scoring. They produce 26.4 shots per game and allow 28.1 shots, indicating they are often outpaced in possession. Their power play has scored 35 goals with a 17.3% conversion rate, which has been below average.

A key issue for Winnipeg has been their inability to maintain offensive pressure while also limiting chances defensively. Their penalty kill sits at 78.6%, which is serviceable but not strong enough to consistently bail them out against elite offensive teams. Against a high-powered opponent, these weaknesses could be exposed.

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Colorado Avalanche Dominance at Home

The Colorado Avalanche come into this game with an outstanding 48-13-10 record and an elite 23-6-5 mark at home. Colorado has won four of their last five games, including victories over the Winnipeg Jets, Pittsburgh Penguins, Washington Capitals, and Chicago Blackhawks, with their only loss coming in a shootout against the Dallas Stars. This recent stretch shows a team that is in excellent form and consistently performing at a high level.

The Avalanche are one of the most dominant offensive teams in the league, averaging 3.70 goals per game while allowing just 2.44 goals against. They generate an impressive 33.8 shots per game while limiting opponents to 26.2 shots, showcasing their ability to control play. Their power play has scored 39 goals with a 16.9% success rate, while their penalty kill stands strong at 83.5%.

Colorado’s ability to dictate tempo and generate sustained offensive pressure is a major advantage. Their defensive numbers, combined with strong special teams, make them one of the most complete teams in the league. At home, they are particularly dangerous, often overwhelming opponents with pace and scoring depth.

Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche Pick

Pick: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (-105)

Colorado has a significant edge in this matchup due to their superior offense, defense, and home ice advantage. Winnipeg’s struggles on the road and inconsistency against stronger teams make this a tough spot for them. Expect Colorado to control the game and win by multiple goals.

Winnipeg Jets vs Colorado Avalanche Total Pick

Pick: Over 6.5

I like the over in this matchup because Colorado’s offense is capable of generating multiple goals on its own, and Winnipeg can contribute enough offensively to push the total higher. With Colorado averaging nearly four goals per game, this matchup has strong potential to exceed the total.

Final Score Prediction, Colorado Avalanche win 5-2.

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Friday.