Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Picks and Prediction for Monday February 2, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 02/02/2026, 12:55 AM ET

The Winnipeg Jets travel to Texas on Monday night to take on the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center, with puck drop scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. This Western Conference matchup will be broadcast on ESPN+. Winnipeg is listed as a +145 underdog on the moneyline, while Dallas comes in as the home favorite at -175. The total is set at 5.5 goals, with the over priced at -120 and the under at even money. The puck line shows Winnipeg +1.5 at -192 and Dallas -1.5 at +160. For more daily betting insight, make sure to check out our free NHL picks.

Jets Trying to Build Consistency Away From Home

Winnipeg enters this matchup with a 22-25-7 overall record and has struggled on the road, posting a 10-15-2 mark away from home. The Jets recently picked up a road win over Florida but also dropped games to Tampa Bay and Detroit, showing the inconsistency that has defined their season. Despite the ups and downs, Winnipeg has remained competitive in most outings.

From a statistical standpoint, the Jets are averaging 2.87 goals per game while allowing 3.04 goals against. They generate 26.1 shots per game and allow 28.1, often finding themselves defending for extended stretches. Winnipeg’s power play has converted at 18.7%, while the penalty kill sits at a respectable 79.5%.

One positive for Winnipeg has been its ability to create offense while shorthanded. The Jets have scored five shorthanded goals this season while allowing none, which gives them a momentum-swinging element that can keep them in games even when special teams opportunities arise.

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Stars Protecting Home Ice in Dallas

Dallas comes into Monday night with a 32-14-9 overall record and has been strong at home, posting a 14-7-3 mark at American Airlines Center. The Stars are playing well, with recent wins over Utah, Vegas, and St. Louis, though they did suffer a narrow shutout loss to Columbus in their last five games. Overall, Dallas has been one of the more consistent teams in the conference.

The Stars are averaging 3.27 goals per game while allowing just 2.73 goals against. They generate 25.5 shots per game and allow 27.0, relying on structure and efficiency rather than volume. Dallas’ power play has been elite, converting at 30.0%, while the penalty kill sits at 80.2%.

Dallas’ biggest advantage in this matchup is its special teams efficiency. With one of the league’s top power plays, the Stars are well-positioned to exploit a Winnipeg team that can struggle when defending sustained pressure in its own zone.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Pick

Pick: Dallas Stars -175 (Moneyline)

Dallas is the clear choice here based on its strong home play and special teams edge. Winnipeg’s road struggles combined with Dallas’ consistency and power-play efficiency make the Stars the safer side in this matchup.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Total Pick

Pick: Under 5.5 Goals

I’m leaning to the under because Dallas tends to control tempo at home and limit scoring chances. Winnipeg has had trouble generating offense on the road, and with the Stars’ defensive structure, this game sets up as a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars 3, Winnipeg Jets 1

This prediction was written before the completion of game play on Sunday.

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