Tottenham vs Newcastle Picks, Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Saturday August 29 2026
Tottenham hosts Newcastle United on Saturday at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with both clubs still searching for their first Premier League win of the 2026-27 season. Spurs enter 0-0-1 after a disappointing 3-0 loss at Brentford, while Newcastle is 0-1-0 following a 2-2 home draw with Liverpool. For more EPL picks and daily coverage across the league, check out our EPL predictions hub before Saturday's kickoff at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
TLDR: Quick Picks and Prediction
- Side Pick: Newcastle +0.5 (-165)
- Total Pick: Over 2.5
- Projected Final Score: Tottenham 2, Newcastle 2
Odds and Line Movement
Tottenham is currently +128 on the three-way moneyline, Newcastle is +191, and the draw is +276. On the Asian handicap, Spurs -0.5 is +120 while Newcastle +0.5 is -165. The total is 2.5, with the Over priced at -165 and the Under at +130.
Tottenham vs Newcastle United Odds
| Market | Tottenham | Newcastle United | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +128 | +191 | +276 |
| Handicap | -0.5 (+120) | +0.5 (-165) | - |
| Total | Over 2.5 (-165) / Under 2.5 (+130) | - | |
Line Movement - Moneyline
| Date | Newcastle United | Tottenham | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24 | +203 | +125 | +268 |
| 08/24 | +203 | +125 | +268 |
| 08/26 | +189 | +133 | +266 |
| 08/26 | +190 | +133 | +265 |
| 08/26 | +190 | +133 | +265 |
| 08/26 | +267 | ||
| 08/26 | +132 | ||
| 08/26 | +190 | +132 | +267 |
| 08/27 | +193 | +130 | +267 |
| 08/27 | +193 | +130 | +267 |
| 08/27 | +193 | +130 | +267 |
| 08/27 | +192 | +129 | +271 |
| 08/27 | +192 | +129 | +272 |
| 08/27 | +192 | +129 | +273 |
| 08/27 | +191 | +129 | +275 |
| 08/27 | +191 | +129 | +275 |
| 08/27 | +191 | +128 | +276 |
Line Movement - Total
| Date | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 08/23 | 2.75 (-119) | 2.75 (-102) |
| 08/23 | 2.75 (-120) | 2.75 (-101) |
| 08/24 | 2.75 (-119) | 2.75 (-102) |
| 08/26 | 2.75 (-118) | 2.75 (-103) |
| 08/26 | 2.75 (-119) | 2.75 (-102) |
| 08/27 | 2.75 (-125) | 2.75 (+103) |
| 08/27 | 3 (+103) | 3 (-124) |
| 08/27 | 3 (+102) | 3 (-124) |
| 08/27 | 3 (-101) | 3 (-120) |
Tottenham vs Newcastle Key Matchups and Game Preview
Tottenham's opening performance raised immediate concerns, as Spurs generated only 0.47 expected goals while allowing 3.96 xG and failed to score despite controlling 59% possession. Newcastle was much more dangerous going forward against Liverpool, producing 1.43 xG and scoring twice through Anthony Elanga and Joe Willock, with Yoane Wissa and William Osula each recording an assist. Wissa also generated four shots and 0.94 xG, showing how much threat Newcastle can create around the penalty area. The matchup still points toward goals because Tottenham's defense was badly exposed in its opener, while Newcastle showed enough attacking quality to trouble Liverpool repeatedly.
Newcastle United's Attacking Threat
Newcastle has enough pace and directness through Elanga, Wissa and Willock to create chances against a Tottenham back line that struggled badly in its opener.
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Tottenham's Defensive Concerns
Tottenham did receive a confidence boost in midweek by beating Charlton 5-1 in the Carabao Cup, with Mikey Moore, Dominic Solanke and new signing Savio among the scorers. Spurs should also improve offensively in front of their home crowd, but backing them as a favorite is difficult given how poor they looked defensively against Brentford.
Tottenham Injury Report
Spurs are expected to be without Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, Mohammed Kudus and Dejan Kulusevski, while Pape Matar Sarr has carried doubts entering the weekend.
Newcastle United Injury Report
Newcastle also has absences, with Joelinton and Dan Burn ruled out and Tino Livramento carrying injury concerns.
TOT vs NEW Betting Trends
- Both clubs are still searching for their first Premier League win of the season, with Tottenham at 0-0-1 and Newcastle at 0-1-0.
- Tottenham's price has firmed from +125 on 08/24 to +128 currently, while Newcastle has drifted from +189-190 up to +191-193 across the recent movement.
- The total has climbed from 2.75 to 3 in the most recent line movement snapshots, with Over pricing gaining significant value late.
TOT and NEW Key Injuries and Things To Know
- Tottenham is missing Xavi Simons, Wilson Odobert, Mohammed Kudus and Dejan Kulusevski, with Pape Matar Sarr a doubt.
- Newcastle is without Joelinton and Dan Burn, while Tino Livramento carries injury concerns.
- Tottenham allowed 3.96 xG in its Premier League opener against Brentford, a significant defensive red flag.
- Newcastle produced 1.43 xG against Liverpool, with Anthony Elanga and Joe Willock both finding the net.
Tottenham vs Newcastle United Side and Over/Under Picks
Spurs should be more dangerous at home after the cup victory, but backing them as a favorite is difficult given the number of unavailable attackers and how poor they looked defensively against Brentford. Newcastle has enough pace and directness through Elanga, Wissa and Willock to create chances, while Spurs should also improve offensively in front of their home crowd, supporting the case for goals at both ends.
- Side Pick: Newcastle United +0.5 (-165)
- Total Pick: Over 2.5
Newcastle United-Tottenham Final Score Prediction
Given Tottenham's exposed defense in its opener, Newcastle's attacking quality against Liverpool, and the number of missing attackers on both sides, this matchup projects as an open, back-and-forth affair that ends level.
- Final Score Prediction: Tottenham 2, Newcastle 2
How to Wager on Tottenham vs Newcastle United
Bettors looking for additional ways to shape their approach to this Tottenham-Newcastle United matchup can also lean on AI-driven tools for a second opinion before placing a wager. Check out our AI picks resource for a broader breakdown of AI-assisted betting tools, or dig into our Dimers review and Oddible review for more model-based perspectives on this weekend's slate before you lock in your Tottenham and Newcastle United picks.
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