Birmingham Stallions vs Orlando Storm Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 3 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/03/2026, 12:10 AM ET

The Birmingham Stallions will take on the Orlando Storm at Inter&Co Stadium in Orlando, Florida, on Sunday, May 3, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 4:00 PM. The game will be broadcast on national television, giving fans a chance to watch this intriguing matchup between two teams heading in opposite directions. Orlando enters as the favorite with a moneyline of -254, while Birmingham sits at +208. The spread is set at Storm -4.5, and the total is listed at 44.5 points. This contest presents an opportunity for both teams to either build momentum or reverse recent struggles. Be sure to check out free UFL picks for more insights and predictions.

Starting Quarterbacks Breakdown

Dorian Thompson-Robinson will lead the offense for Birmingham, bringing 332 passing yards on the season along with two touchdowns and two interceptions. On the other side, Jack Plummer has been significantly more productive for Orlando, totaling 996 passing yards with eight touchdowns and just one interception. The contrast in passing production between these two quarterbacks could play a major role in how this game unfolds, particularly given Orlando’s ability to protect the football and generate consistent offense through the air.

Birmingham Stallions Recent Form and Performance Outlook

The Birmingham Stallions enter this matchup with a 1-4 record and have struggled to find consistency throughout the season. Playing on the road has not provided much relief, and the team is currently riding a four-game losing streak. Recently, Birmingham suffered losses to DC, Orlando, St. Louis, and Houston, with their lone win coming earlier in the season against Louisville. The recent 28-45 loss to DC highlights ongoing defensive issues, while the shutout loss to Orlando just weeks ago underscores the offensive challenges they have faced.

Offensively, Birmingham averages 18.6 points per game, supported by 219.6 passing yards and 71.0 rushing yards per contest. While the passing attack shows some promise, the ground game has been limited. Defensively, the Stallions are allowing 26.0 points per game, along with 218.0 passing yards and 109.2 rushing yards to opponents. These numbers indicate a unit that has struggled to consistently slow down opposing offenses.

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One key weakness for Birmingham is their defense, particularly against the run. Allowing over 100 rushing yards per game puts them at a disadvantage against teams that can control the pace offensively. Combined with their inability to consistently generate points, this has contributed heavily to their current losing streak.

The Orlando Storm come into this game with a strong 4-1 record and have been one of the more consistent teams in the league. At home, they have been especially effective, using balanced play to secure victories. Orlando recently lost to St. Louis but had previously defeated Birmingham, Louisville twice, and Columbus. Their 16-0 win over Birmingham earlier in the season stands out as a dominant performance on both sides of the ball.

Offensively, Orlando averages 20.8 points per game, with 185.6 passing yards and an impressive 102.0 rushing yards per game. This balance makes them difficult to defend. On the defensive side, Orlando has been outstanding, allowing just 15.4 points per game while limiting opponents to 209.0 passing yards and only 77.0 rushing yards per contest.

A major strength for Orlando is their defense, particularly their ability to limit scoring opportunities. Holding opponents to just 15.4 points per game gives them a consistent edge, especially when paired with a balanced offensive attack that can control both tempo and field position.

Birmingham Stallions vs Orlando Storm Picks and Prediction

Birmingham Stallions vs Orlando Storm Pick

Pick: Orlando Storm -4.5

Orlando holds clear advantages in both offensive balance and defensive performance. The Storm average more points per game while allowing significantly fewer than Birmingham. Additionally, Orlando already defeated Birmingham 16-0 earlier this season, demonstrating their ability to dominate this matchup. With Birmingham struggling defensively and currently on a losing streak, Orlando’s consistency and home-field advantage make them the stronger side in this contest.

Birmingham Stallions vs Orlando Storm Total Pick

Pick: Under 44.5

I’m going with the under in this matchup based on Orlando’s defensive strength and Birmingham’s offensive inconsistency. The Storm allow just 15.4 points per game, and they already held Birmingham scoreless in a previous meeting. While Birmingham’s defense has struggled, Orlando’s controlled offensive pace and strong defense suggest a lower-scoring game is likely. The previous matchup between these teams also stayed under the total, reinforcing this outlook.

Final Score Prediction: Orlando Storm 23 – Birmingham Stallions 16