Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Predictions for Monday, September 1, 2025

By: Jake Allman Updated 09/01/2025, 01:49 PM ET

Atlanta comes into this Eastern Conference matchup at 25-14, having just crushed Dallas 100-78 at home. The Dream have now won three of the last four games and continue to push toward playoff positioning. Connecticut sits at 10-29 after getting blown out 94-70 by Minnesota. The Sun have dropped two of three and are just 6-13 at home this year. Take the WNBA by storm with our WNBA picks.

Atlanta’s offense is clicking at the right time, averaging 83.4 points per game and shooting 43.9% from the field. Allisha Gray continues to lead with 18.7 points per game, while Nia Coffey and Cheyenne Parker provide consistent secondary scoring. The Dream have won seven of the last ten and are showing solid balance as they close the season strong.

Defensively, Atlanta gives up just 77.1 points per game and forces nearly 7 steals per contest. The rebounding edge (36.4 per game) allows them to control pace and limit second-chance opportunities. Jordin Canada remains out, but the Dream have adapted without her. Atlanta's defensive structure and transition game make them a tough out right now.

Connecticut has shown flashes lately, including a 101-point performance in Dallas, but the inconsistency is glaring. The Sun are averaging just 76.3 points and shooting 41.2% from the field, struggling to keep up with more dynamic offenses. Tina Charles leads the scoring at 16.2 points per game and remains the focal point, but help around her has been limited.

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Defensively, the Sun are allowing 85.7 points per game, worst in the East, and give up a rebounding margin of nearly five per night. They do create turnovers with 8.1 steals per game, but they haven’t been able to convert those into enough offense. Bria Hartley remains out, and Olivia Nelson-Ododa is questionable, adding to the frontcourt concerns.

Atlanta is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 games
The total has been under in 9 of Atlanta’s last 10 games
Connecticut is 7-1 ATS in the last eight games
The Sun are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 games against Atlanta

Dream vs Sun Prediction

The Dream are deeper, better defensively, and in much better form. With Connecticut struggling to defend and rebound, Atlanta’s size and transition play should dictate the pace. Gray has a favorable matchup on the perimeter, and the Dream’s ability to close games has been evident down the stretch. Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 88, Connecticut Sun 74.