Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Friday May 15 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 05/15/2026, 01:40 AM ET

The Chicago Sky visit the Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona on Friday, May 15, 2026, at 10:00 PM ET. The game will be broadcast on ION and WNBA League Pass. Phoenix enters this matchup favored by 4.5 points with a -205 moneyline, while Chicago is listed at +170. The total for the game is set at 166.5 points. Be sure to check out our free NBA picks at free WNBA picks

Chicago Bringing Confidence Into Phoenix

Chicago enters this contest undefeated at 2-0 overall and has won both of its games on the road. The Sky most recently defeated Golden State 69-63 after previously earning a 98-83 victory against Portland. Before this season, Chicago lost to Atlanta, Phoenix, and New York during its previous stretch of games dating back to last year.

The Sky are averaging 83.5 points per game while allowing only 73.0 points defensively. Chicago is shooting 42% from the field while averaging 42.5 rebounds and 20.5 assists per contest. Defensively, the Sky have also produced 8.0 blocks and 5.5 steals per game.

Chicago’s biggest strength entering this matchup has been its defense and rebounding combination. Allowing only 73.0 points per game while averaging 42.5 rebounds gives the Sky consistent opportunities to control possessions and limit opponents offensively.

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Mercury Hoping to Defend Home Court

Phoenix enters Friday’s matchup with a 1-2 overall record and is still searching for its first home victory. The Mercury recently lost to Minnesota 88-84 and Golden State 95-79 but previously defeated Las Vegas 99-66. Phoenix has alternated strong offensive performances with difficult defensive stretches during its recent games.

The Mercury are averaging 87.3 points per game while allowing 83.0 points defensively. Phoenix has shot 45% from the field and is averaging 30.7 rebounds along with 21.0 assists per game. The Mercury have also recorded 3.7 blocks and 8.0 steals per contest.

One clear strength for Phoenix has been offensive production. Averaging 87.3 points per game while shooting 45% from the floor has allowed the Mercury to stay competitive despite defensive inconsistency. Their assist numbers also reflect effective ball movement offensively.

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Pick

Pick: Chicago Sky +4.5

Chicago has been one of the stronger defensive teams through the opening games of the season, allowing only 73.0 points per game while also dominating the glass with 42.5 rebounds per contest. The Sky are undefeated on the road and recently held Golden State to just 63 points. Phoenix has shown offensive ability, but Chicago’s defense and rebounding give the Sky a strong chance to stay within this number.

Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Total Pick

Pick: Under 166.5

I am leaning toward the under because Chicago has consistently played strong defensive basketball early this season. The Sky just won a 69-63 game against Golden State and are allowing only 73.0 points per contest overall. While Phoenix can score, Chicago’s defensive style and rebounding advantage could slow this game down enough to keep the total below the posted number.

Final Score Prediction: Phoenix Mercury 82 – Chicago Sky 79