Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream Picks and Predictions for Thursday, September 18, 2025

By: David Anicetti Published 09/18/2025, 12:05 AM ET

It all comes down to Game 3 in Georgia. The Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream split the first two games of their first-round best-of-three series, and Thursday’s matchup at Gateway Center decides the series. Tip-off is 7:30 PM ET on ESPN2. The Dream are 7.5-point favorites at home. The total sits at 155.5. Score a basket with our expert WNBA picks.

Indiana Fever Preview

The Fever tied the series with a 77–60 win on Tuesday, holding Atlanta well below its usual scoring average. Kelsey Mitchell has carried the offense, averaging 23 points per game in the postseason while shooting 48% from the field and 42% from deep. She’s also hitting over 90% at the line. Aliyah Boston has provided balance inside, adding 11.5 points and 8.5 rebounds.

The Fever averaged 84.9 points with 20.6 assists during the regular season, but their defense has been the difference in the playoffs, holding Atlanta to 70 points per game. Indiana has won four of its last five overall, including decisive wins against Minnesota, Washington, and Chicago. Caitlin Clark and Damiris Dantas are out, but the remainder of the roster remains solid. If Mitchell stays hot and Boston controls the glass, Indiana can compete.

Atlanta Dream Preview

The Dream dropped Game 2 by 17 points but entered the matchup on a five-game win streak. The Dream averaged 84.4 points with 36.6 rebounds and 21.4 assists during the regular season. Rhyne Howard leads them at 15 points per game in the postseason, while Allisha Gray adds 14.5 points and 6.5 boards per game. Naz Hillmon has chipped in with 12 points and 8 rebounds per game, giving the frontcourt strong scoring.

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The Dream thrive in transition and feed off the home crowd. No injuries give them a deeper bench than Indiana. Expect the Dream to look for a faster pace and to put early pressure on Indiana after being slowed down by Indiana in Game 2. If they regain rhythm from three-point territory and control the boards, Atlanta should finish the job at home.

Indiana Fevers vs Atlanta Dream Prediction

Atlanta takes Game 3 thanks to a deeper bench, better shooting from long range, and a tough defense that will take Kelsey Mitchell out of her game. Atlanta will use its superior defense to prevent the Fever from having any scoring runs and control the tempo throughout. Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream wins and covers ATS 84-72.