Indiana Fever vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Predictions for Thursday, July 9, 2026

By: Cameron Ross Published 07/09/2026, 01:05 AM ET
Mercury vs Sparks prediction

Fever vs Mercury Information

The Indiana Fever continue a road trip on the West Coast Wednesday night with a game inside the Mortgage Matchup Center at 10:00 PM in Phoenix, AZ against the Phoenix Mercury. Indiana has 12 wins and 9 losses this season, coming into this matchup following a loss on Wednesday that ended a 2-game winning streak. The Phoenix Mercury stay home Thursday night, 6 games below .500, following a loss to Chicago in their last outing to end a 3-game winning streak. Stay up to date with our WNBA Picks.

Fever Preview

Offensively, Indiana is averaging 93.5 points on 46% shooting from the floor this season. Defensively, Indiana has been mediocre, allowing 89.7 points per game this year, but they have allowed an average of 110 points per game in their last 3 losses. Kelsey Mitchell leads Indiana this season with 21.9 points per game. Caitlin Clark is second on the team, averaging 21.2 points, along with the team-leading 8.2 assists. Aliyah Boston averages a third-best 17.1 points and leads Indiana, pulling in 8.6 rebounds per game.

Mercury Preview

The Phoenix Mercury have averaged 83.4 points on 43% shooting from the floor this season, but have averaged just 71.5 points per game across their last 2 losses. Defensively, Phoenix is allowing 85.5 points per game this year. Kahleah Copper leads the Phoenix offense this season, averaging 20.8 points per game. Alyssa Thomas is averaging 14.2 points along with a team-leading 8.2 assists. Jovan Nogic is third on the roster with 10.4 points per game this season. Natasha Mack averages 9.2 points and leads the team, pulling in 8.3 rebounds per game.

Fever vs Mercury Pick

Despite being on a back-to-back Thursday night, Indiana is the better team in this matchup. The Fever have played well as of late despite the loss on Wednesday and will continue that trend against Phoenix. These 2 teams played just over a week ago, with them splitting those 2 matchups. Look for Indiana to use their edge on the offensive side to overwhelm Phoenix, resulting in the victory Thursday night on the road.

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  • Pick: Indiana Fever -5.5
  • Secondary: Β Under 184.5

Final Score Prediction:Β  Β Indiana Fever win and cover 84-75.

Game Written Prior to completion of game on Wednesday.

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