Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction for Sunday June 28 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/28/2026, 12:25 AM ET

The Las Vegas Aces and Chicago Sky meet at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois, on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 4:00 PM ET with television coverage available on CBS and Paramount+. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. ESPN Analytics gives Las Vegas a 66.7 percent chance to win, while Chicago is listed at 33.3 percent. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Las Vegas Brings a Strong Road Profile to Chicago

Las Vegas enters this matchup with a 13-5 overall record and an 8-2 record away from home. The Aces recently won over Dallas, recently lost to New York, recently won over Golden State, recently won over Phoenix, and recently lost to Dallas. That gives Las Vegas three wins in its last five games and a strong road foundation heading into this matchup.

The Aces are averaging 89.8 points per game while allowing 85.7 points per game. They are shooting 49 percent from the field while averaging 35.4 rebounds, 23.1 assists, 5.4 blocks, and 6.8 steals per game. Las Vegas has the better scoring average, field goal percentage, rebounding average, and assists average compared to Chicago.

The biggest strength for Las Vegas is offensive efficiency. The Aces are scoring nearly 90 points per game while shooting 49 percent from the field, and they also create 23.1 assists per contest. That combination gives Las Vegas a strong offensive profile, especially against a Chicago team allowing 88.6 points per game.

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Chicago Looks to Keep Its Home Scoring Surge Going

Chicago comes into the game with a 6-12 overall record and a 3-6 home record. The Sky recently won over Portland twice, recently lost to Connecticut, recently lost to Dallas, and recently lost to New York. That gives Chicago two wins in its last five games, with both recent victories coming at home.

The Sky are averaging 85.7 points per game while allowing 88.6 points per game. Chicago is shooting 43 percent from the field while averaging 33.3 rebounds, 20.4 assists, 5.7 blocks, and 6.6 steals per game. The Sky have the edge in blocks, but Las Vegas holds advantages in the other major team categories provided.

Chicago’s biggest strength is rim protection. The Sky average 5.7 blocks per game, slightly better than Las Vegas at 5.4. However, the larger concern is defense overall, as Chicago is allowing 88.6 points per game and facing a Las Vegas team averaging 89.8 points.

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Pick

Pick: Las Vegas Aces Moneyline

Las Vegas is my pick because the Aces have the better overall record, stronger road record, and much higher matchup predictor percentage. The Aces also lead Chicago in points per game, points allowed, field goal percentage, rebounds, assists, and steals. Chicago has won its last two games, but Las Vegas has the stronger full statistical profile from the information provided.

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky Total Pick

Take the over if the total is set at 176.5.

I would lean over 176.5 because Las Vegas averages 89.8 points per game and Chicago averages 85.7, while both teams also allow at least 85.7 points per game. With Chicago giving up 88.6 points per contest and Las Vegas giving up 85.7, the supplied scoring numbers point toward a game that can reach the high 170s.

Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 93 – Chicago Sky 86