Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Sunday May 31 2026
The Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries meet on Sunday, May 31, 2026, at Chase Center in San Francisco, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 PM ET, and the game will be televised on NBC and streamed on Peacock. Las Vegas enters as a 1.5-point road favorite with a moneyline of -122, while Golden State is listed at +102. The total for this matchup is set at 169.5 points. With both teams coming into this contest above .500 and separated by only a few games in the standings, this matchup has the potential to be one of the more competitive games on the Sunday WNBA slate. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for additional plays and predictions.
Evaluating the Recent Form of Las Vegas
Las Vegas enters this game with a 4-3 overall record and has been especially effective away from home, posting a 4-1 road mark through its first five road contests. The Aces have gone 3-2 over their last five games, recently defeating Connecticut twice and Atlanta once before dropping consecutive games against Los Angeles and Dallas. Most recently, Las Vegas suffered a 95-87 loss on the road against Dallas after also falling 101-95 at home against Los Angeles.
The Aces have produced some of the league's most impressive offensive numbers so far. They are averaging 91.0 points per game while allowing 88.6 points per contest. Las Vegas is shooting 49 percent from the field, grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game, and distributing 22.1 assists per contest. Defensively, the Aces contribute 7.1 blocks and 6.7 steals per game.
One of the biggest strengths for Las Vegas has been offensive efficiency. The Aces lead this matchup in scoring average, field goal percentage, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals. Their ability to consistently generate points while maintaining strong shooting percentages has allowed them to remain competitive even during recent losses.
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Golden State Looking to Continue Strong Start
Golden State enters Sunday's matchup with a 5-2 record and a solid 3-1 mark at Chase Center. The Valkyries have won three of their last five games and enter this contest with victories in three of their previous four outings. They recently defeated Indiana 90-88 and Connecticut 97-70 after previously earning an impressive 87-70 road win over New York. Their only losses during the last five games came against Indiana and Chicago.
The Valkyries have been effective on both ends of the floor. They are averaging 86.4 points per game while allowing just 78.0 points per contest. Golden State shoots 41 percent from the field and averages 34.7 rebounds and 19.1 assists per game. Defensively, the Valkyries contribute 5.3 blocks and 6.3 steals per contest.
The most impressive statistic for Golden State may be its defense. Allowing only 78.0 points per game gives the Valkyries a significant advantage on that side of the ball. While their offensive numbers trail Las Vegas in several categories, their ability to limit opponents has been a major reason they have started the season with five wins in seven games.
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -1.5
This matchup appears extremely close based on the records and ESPN's Matchup Predictor, which gives Las Vegas a slight 51.3 percent edge. The deciding factor for me is the overall statistical profile of the Aces. Las Vegas averages more points, shoots a significantly higher percentage from the field, records more assists, rebounds, blocks, and steals, and owns a strong 4-1 road record. Although Golden State has been excellent defensively, the Aces have faced a challenging stretch recently and still possess the more productive offensive attack. With the spread sitting at only 1.5 points, Las Vegas gets the nod.
Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Total Pick
- Pick: Over 169.5
I like the over in this matchup. Las Vegas is averaging 91.0 points per game, while Golden State is scoring 86.4 points per contest. Four of the five most recent games played by the Aces produced at least 169 combined points, and Golden State is coming off performances of 90 and 97 points in two of its last three games. With both offenses showing the ability to score consistently, I believe this game can finish above the posted total.
Final Score Prediction
Las Vegas Aces 88 – Golden State Valkyries 84
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