Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 13 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/13/2026, 12:20 AM ET

The Los Angeles Sparks travel to face the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, June 13, 2026, in a WNBA Commissioner's Cup matchup. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will be available on WNBA League Pass. Los Angeles enters with a moneyline of -102, while Phoenix is listed at -118. The total for the game is set at 176.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Sparks Seeking Another Road Victory

Los Angeles enters this matchup with a 6-6 overall record and an impressive 4-1 road record. The Sparks have won two of their last five games and are coming off back-to-back victories over Seattle and Portland. Before those wins, Los Angeles recently lost to Dallas, Las Vegas, and Connecticut. Their most recent performance was an 88-83 road victory over Seattle, giving them momentum heading into this contest.

The Sparks are averaging 88.7 points per game while allowing 90.4 points per contest. They shoot 46% from the field and contribute 31.1 rebounds and 19.9 assists per game. Defensively, Los Angeles averages 3.0 blocks and 7.9 steals per contest.

One of the biggest strengths for Los Angeles is its offensive production. The Sparks score nearly 89 points per game, which is significantly higher than Phoenix's season average. Their ability to generate points has helped them remain competitive even when facing defensive challenges throughout the season.

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Mercury Looking to Build on Recent Success

Phoenix enters the game with a 4-10 overall record and a 1-4 mark at home. The Mercury have split their last five contests, recently winning over Portland and Seattle while suffering losses to Dallas, Golden State, and Minnesota. Their most recent outing resulted in an 85-70 loss at Dallas after winning two consecutive road games earlier in the stretch.

The Mercury average 80.8 points per game while allowing 85.1 points per contest. Phoenix shoots 41% from the field and averages 31.6 rebounds and 18.5 assists per game. Defensively, the Mercury contribute 3.5 blocks and 8.1 steals per game.

The biggest strength for Phoenix is its defensive scoring average relative to Los Angeles. The Mercury allow 85.1 points per game compared to the Sparks allowing 90.4 points per contest. While Phoenix has struggled to score consistently, its defense has generally kept games more competitive than its overall record might suggest.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Pick

Pick: Los Angeles Sparks Moneyline

Los Angeles enters this matchup with the better overall record, the stronger road record, and a significant advantage in scoring average. The Sparks are averaging nearly eight more points per game than Phoenix and have won two consecutive games. While the Mercury hold a slight edge in points allowed, the overall statistical profile favors Los Angeles heading into this contest.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury Total Pick

Pick: Under 176.5

I like the under in this matchup. Phoenix averages just 80.8 points per game, and the combined season scoring averages of these two teams fall below the posted total. While Los Angeles has been productive offensively, the numbers suggest a game that stays under 176.5 points.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 89 – Phoenix Mercury 83